[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 232006
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
306 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE ACROSS COASTAL ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING...

AT 3 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED BY
RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR
LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST
OF DESTIN FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING ON A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 6 MPH...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA EARLY ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN
INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN
SOON IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-240000-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
306 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

TROPICAL STORM FAY IS MOVING VERY SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND AREA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. AS FAY
CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY TO THE WEST THROUGH TONIGHT...THE AXIS OF
HEAVY RAIN ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY WILL LIKELY SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTH ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING.

THE MAJOR IMPACT ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION FROM FAY IS
LIKELY TO BE FLOODING FROM EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.  FAY WILL POSE A
MODERATE WIND IMPACT TO OUR COASTAL COMMUNITIES AND MARINE
INTERESTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS AT 40 MPH GUSTING TO 50 MPH
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL START TO AFFECT THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS EVENING...SPREADING WESTWARD ACROSS THE
COASTAL COUNTIES OF ALABAMA OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS
IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA

IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

MOBILE AND BALDWIN

AS WELL AS THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA
AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN
COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS
PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 3 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED BY
RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR
LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST...OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST
OF DESTIN FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING ON A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 6 MPH...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA EARLY ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN
INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN
SOON IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...MAINLY OVER THE WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

COMPLETE ACTIONS NOW TO SECURE PROPERTY...ESPECIALLY HOMES ALONG THE
AREA BEACHES...NEAR RIVERS AND CREEKS...INCLUDING BOATS. VESSELS
GOING OFFSHORE OVER THE GULF WATERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A MAJOR HAZARD FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FLASH FLOODING. FLASH
FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. PERSONS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS
SHOULD CHECK THEIR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS TODAY. STAY INFORMED
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED. LEAVE AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS
RISING.

...INLAND FLOODING...

HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TONIGHT. DURING THE 24 HOUR
PERIOD ENDING SUNDAY EVENING...SOME 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN COULD
FALL ACROSS THE AREA...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS AROUND 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT HEAVY RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST AND NORTHEAST
SIDE OF FAY.  THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL SHOULD BE ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.  THE HEAVY RAINS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF FAY
MOVES TOWARDS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA.

THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH
FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING OF RIVERS AND
STREAMS IS POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER
SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER
RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST.

...WINDS...

NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH BY THIS EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES BY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WILL THEN SPREAD FARTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS MOBILE AND BALDWIN
COUNTIES LATER THIS EVENING OVER OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS NEAR 40
KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL AFFECT THE GULF WATERS OFF
DESTIN...NAVARRE AND PENSACOLA STARTING THIS AFTERNOON AND LASTING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD
WESTWARD ACROSS THE ALABAMA GULF COASTAL WATERS THIS EVENING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY.  SEAS FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ARE
FORECAST OVER THE GULF WATERS.

AGAIN...MARINE AND COASTAL INTERESTS SHOULD COMPLETE ANY REMAINING
PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES NOW.  THE WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY TO COMPLETE
ANY PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES IS RAPIDLY CLOSING AS TROPICAL STORM FAY
APPROACHES FROM THE EAST.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WERE RUNNING ALMOST TWO FEET BELOW NORMAL THIS
AFTERNOON DUE TO THE PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WIND. HOWEVER...THIS WILL
CHANGE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...MAXIMUM STORM
TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ALONG THE COAST COULD REACH 2 TO 4 FEET IN SOME
AREAS. AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD...THE
MAXIMUM STORM TIDES WILL EFFECT THE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM DESTIN TO
PENSACOLA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND FROM PENSACOLA TO PASCAGOULA
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE
FORECAST TO OCCUR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 2 AM AND 5
AM OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

A HIGH RISK OF VERY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS IN THE SURF AT AREA
BEACHES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF
DURING THIS EVENT WILL BE ENDANGERING THEIR LIVES. MINOR TO MODERATE
BEACH EROSION ALONG THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA GULF
COAST WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING
OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS FAY
MOVES WEST AND NORTHWESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE NORTHEAST AND
EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 6 PM CDT TODAY.

$$

ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-240000-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
306 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

TROPICAL STORM FAY CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE FLORIDA
BIG BEND AREA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON.  AS
FAY CONTINUES MOVING VERY SLOWLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT
TWO DAYS...THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY
WILL LIKELY SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH ALABAMA AND THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...THEN ACROSS
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

THE MAJOR IMPACT FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY IS LIKELY TO BE INLAND
FLOODING FROM EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY
RESIDENTS
IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...CONECUH...CRENSHAW...
MONROE...WILCOX...CLARKE...WASHINGTON AND BUTLER COUNTIES.

IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND
GEORGE COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 3 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED BY
RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR
LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST
OF DESTIN FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING ON A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 8 MPH...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA EARLY ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN
INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN
SOON IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE PRIMARY HAZARD FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FLASH FLOODING. FLASH
FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. PERSONS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS
SHOULD CHECK THEIR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS TODAY. STAY INFORMED AND
BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED. LEAVE AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS
RISING.

...INLAND FLOODING...

HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TONIGHT. DURING THE 24 HOUR
PERIOD ENDING SUNDAY EVENING...SOME 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN COULD
FALL ACROSS THE AREA...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS AROUND 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT HEAVY RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST AND NORTHEAST
SIDE OF FAY.  THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL SHOULD BE ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.  THE HEAVY RAINS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF FAY
MOVES TOWARDS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA.

THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH
FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING OF RIVERS AND
STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN
ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE
CURRENTLY FORECAST.

...WINDS...

GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS FROM 15 TO 25 MPH OVER SOUTH ALABAMA
WILL BECOME MORE EASTERLY FROM 25 TO 35 MPH THIS EVENING AS THE BROAD
CENTER OF FAY MOVES WEST-NORTHWEST ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. GUSTY WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 MPH WILL SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS
THE INLAND COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INTO SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI BY SUNDAY MORNING AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES TOWARDS THE
COASTAL COUNTIES OF ALABAMA.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS
EVENING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE NORTHEAST
AND EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 6 PM CDT TODAY.

$$

GARMON



This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net