[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 230408
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1108 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
TONIGHT AND WILL APPROACH EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY...

AT 1030 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS NEAR LATITUDE
29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST...OR 50 MILES EAST OF APALACHICOLA
FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...TAKING FAY OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO COAST ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

RECENT DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AND WSR-88D
VELOCITIES INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE SLIGHTLY
INCREASED AND ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FAY IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...MAINLY TO
THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER.

THE RECENT MEASURED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BY RECONNAISSANCE IS
997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-231015-
/O.UPG.KMOB.TR.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.TR.W.1006.080823T0408Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1108 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN WESTWARD TO THE
ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...SOUTH
CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING RAINS
GENERATED BY FAY STARTING ON SATURDAY AND LINGERING THROUGH POSSIBLE
MONDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS
IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA

IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

MOBILE AND BALDWIN

THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA
AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN
COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS
OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 1030 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST...OR 50 MILES EAST OF
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...TAKING FAY NEAR OR
OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO COAST ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND WSR-88D
VELOCITIES INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE SLIGHTLY
INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FAY IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...MAINLY TO
THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER.

THE RECENT MEASURED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BY RECONNAISSANCE IS
997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BEGIN TROPICAL CYCLONE
PREPARATIONS TODAY. TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE PROPERTY...ESPECIALLY
AT BEACH FRONT HOMES AND WITH BOATS. VESSELS GOING OFFSHORE OVER THE
GULF WATERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE RUNNING ABOUT ONE-HALF TO ONE FOOT BELOW
NORMAL DUE TO THE PERSISTENT OFFSHORE WIND FLOW THIS EVENING.
HOWEVER...THIS WILL CHANGE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND
SPEED...MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ALONG THE COAST COULD REACH
3 TO 4 FEET IN SOME AREAS. AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WESTWARD ACROSS
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SATURDAY...THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDES WILL
EFFECT THE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA SATURDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...AND FROM PENSACOLA TO PASCAGOULA
BETWEEN SATURDAY EVENING AND EARLY SUNDAY. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH
TIDES ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 2
AM AND 5 AM OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION ALONG THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND ALABAMA GULF COAST WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

...WINDS...

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH TONIGHT WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AND
INCREASE TO NEAR 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH SATURDAY EVENING OVER
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF FAY PASSES. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD FARTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS MOBILE
AND BALDWIN COUNTIES BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 45 KNOTS
WILL AFFECT THE GULF WATERS OFF DESTIN BY EARLY SATURDAY. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD WESTWARD OVER MOST OF THE FLORIDA
BY NOON...THE SPREADING INTO THE ALABAMA COASTAL WATERS BY LATE
AFTERNOON.  SEAS FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ARE FORECAST OVER THE GULF WATERS
SOUTH OF DESTIN...NAVARRE...AND PENSACOLA SATURDAY NIGHT. SEAS TO
NEAR 8 FEET ARE FORECAST TO BUILD ACROSS THE ALABAMA COASTAL WATERS
SUNDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY.
DURING THE 30 HOUR PERIOD ENDING VERY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING SUNDAY
SOME 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE AXIS OF
THE HEAVIEST OF RAINFALL SHOULD LINE UP FROM BUTLER ALABAMA TO ATMORE
AND SOUTHEASTWARD TO NAVARRE. HEAVY RAIN WILL THEN DEVELOP WEST OF
THIS LINE ON SUNDAY. THIS ALL DEPENDS ON THE EXACT TRACK OF FAY AND
HOW FAST SHE MOVES...HOWEVER THAT IS THE LATEST THINKING.

THESE TYPE OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH
FLOODING BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND LINGERING INTO
MONDAY. WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL
INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE
EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 2 AM CDT
SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-231015-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
1108 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN WESTWARD TO THE
ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...SOUTH
CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING RAINS
GENERATED BY FAY STARTING ON SATURDAY AND LINGERING THROUGH POSSIBLE
MONDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS
IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...CONECUH...CRENSHAW...
MONROE...WILCOX...CLARKE...WASHINGTON AND BUTLER COUNTIES.

IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE
COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 1030 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST...OR 50 MILES EAST OF
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...TAKING FAY NEAR OR
OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO COAST ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND WSR-88D
VELOCITIES INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE SLIGHTLY
INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FAY IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...MAINLY TO
THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER.

THE RECENT MEASURED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BY RECONNAISSANCE IS
997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

...WINDS...

BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK OF FAY...GUSTY WINDS FROM 25 TO
35 MPH WILL OVERSPREAD THE INLAND COUNTIES OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA
SATURDAY AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES TO NEAR PENSACOLA. WINDS OF 25 TO
35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP WESTWARD INTO
SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE CENTER OF
FAY MOVES THROUGH THE MOBILE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY.
DURING THE 30 HOUR PERIOD ENDING VERY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING SUNDAY
SOME 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE AXIS OF
THE HEAVIEST OF RAINFALL SHOULD LINE UP FROM BUTLER ALABAMA TO ATMORE
AND SOUTHEASTWARD TO NAVARRE. HEAVY RAIN WILL THEN DEVELOP WEST OF
THIS LINE ON SUNDAY. THIS ALL DEPENDS ON THE EXACT TRACK OF FAY AND
HOW FAST SHE MOVES...HOWEVER THAT IS THE LATEST THINKING.

THESE TYPE OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH
FLOODING BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND LINGERING INTO
MONDAY. WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL
INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE
EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 2 AM CDT
SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

MEDLIN



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