[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 220843
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...CENTER OF FAY NEAR GAINESVILLE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
CONTINUE ALONG PARTS OF THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO INDIAN PASS...AND A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF INDIAN PASS
WESTWARD TO DESTIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.2 WEST OR NEAR GAINESVILLE
FLORIDA.  THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...
EAST-NORTHEAST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE COAST
OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT
FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  SEVERAL STATIONS IN THE
JACKSONVILLE AREA HAVE REPORTED WIND GUSTS OF 55 TO 60 MPH...
90 TO 95 KM/HR...DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
GAINESVILLE RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 996.1 MB...29.41
INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA
GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...29.6 N...82.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



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