[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 211750
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  24A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY BEGINNING TO CROSS THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST NEAR FLAGLER BEACH...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST...OR VERY
NEAR FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA.

FAY HAS BEGUN TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 2 MPH...3 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL SLOW MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...AND BE VERY NEAR THE GULF COAST
OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH AS THE CENTER MOVES INLAND
LATER TODAY. A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN AFTER FAY MOVES
INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA JUST
REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 56 MPH...91 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN
GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE EAST
CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OF FLORIDA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...29.4 N...81.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

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