[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 211253
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
853 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY REMAINS NEARLY
STATIONARY JUST OFFSHORE THE  VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST...

...AREAS AFFECTED...THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN
BY PERSONS WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
BREVARD COUNTY UNTIL NOON.

A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL
LATE FRIDAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL INLAND
COUNTIES WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA EXCEPT OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR VOLUSIA...BREVARD...
INDIAN RIVER AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC
WATERS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 800 AM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES EAST
OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

FAY HAS BARELY MOVED OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...A SLOW
MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN LATER TODAY
AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS
FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
TODAY...AND BE VERY NEAR THE GULF COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY
EARLY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE WHILE THE CENTER
OF FAY REMAINS OVER WATER THIS MORNING...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.



FLZ047-054-059-141-147-221300-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
853 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

BANDS OF TORRENTIAL RAINS WHICH HAVE IMPACTED EASTERN ORANGE AND
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES EARLY THIS MORNING HOURS HAVE BEGUN TO
ONE AGAIN INCREASE IN INTENSITY. RADAR ESTIMATES FOR THE LAST
THREE HOURS INDICATE NEAR 2 INCHES OF RAIN NEAR COCOA AND MERRITT
ISLAND...AND ABOUT AN INCH OF RAIN NEAR BITHLO AND CHRISTMAS. AS
FAY TRACKS SLOWLY INLAND TODAY...THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL
FLOODING WILL REMAIN HIGH ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL FLORIDA AS
ADDITIONAL RAINBANDS DEVELOP NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE STORM CENTER
THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON TODAY...MAINLY IN SQUALLS.
PEAK GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH WILL OCCUR...MAINLY ALONG THE COAST OF
VOLUSIA AND NORTH BREVARD COUNTIES. RECENT GUST OBSERVATIONS
ALONG THE COAST OF EXTREME NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY WERE 55
MPH...AND A REPORT WAS JUST RECEIVED OF A 65 MPH GUST ON THE BEACH
AT ORMOND BY THE SEA IN VOLUSIA COUNTY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN RIVER...
BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

HIGH SURF WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL.
STORM TIDE WATERS MAY RUN 2 TO 3 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL NEAR THE TIME
OF HIGH TIDE BETWEEN 11 AM AND NOON. STORM SURGE CONCERNS WILL BE
HIGHEST ALONG THE NORTHERN VOLUSIA COAST...WHERE CONTINUED
ONSHORE WINDS ARE CREATING LONG DURATION POUNDING SURF.
SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION REMAINS A CONCERN.

THE EFFECTS OF STORM TIDE WATERS WILL BE MINIMAL SOUTH OF CAPE
CANAVERAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENT ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL
STORM FAY.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAINLY IN GUSTS...WILL CONTINUE
TODAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE CIRCULATION
CENTER OF FAY...ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHERN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA
COUNTIES. WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON...
ESPECIALLY FROM OSCEOLA AND BREVARD COUNTIES NORTHWARD. A FEW
WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 65 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
MORNING...ESPECIALLY WITHIN SQUALLS ALONG THE VOLUSIA AND NORTH
BREVARD BEACHES. FURTHER TO THE SOUTH ACROSS INDIAN RIVER AND
SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES...WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT LOWER BUT STILL WITH
GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH OF 40 MPH IN SQUALLS. WINDS
SHOULD BEGIN TO LESSEN BY LATE TODAY AS FAY MOVES FARTHER INLAND
AND WEAKENS.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE CENTER OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY...IMPACTING MOST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY INCREASE AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY
INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN RATES THROUGH MID AFTERNOON SHOULD REMAIN
AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR...BUT TORRENTIAL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES
PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY. IF TORRENTIAL CELLS
PERSIST...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY. EARLY
TODAY...COVERAGE OF RAIN WILL BE LESS SOUTH OF OSCEOLA AND
BREVARD COUNTIES...BUT SHOULD INCREASE EVEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
COUNTIES LATER TODAY.

AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL FLORIDA BY LATE FRIDAY. EVEN FAR FROM THE
CENTER AND AFTER PASSAGE OF THE TROPICAL STORM...CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO DEVELOP AND
PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS WITH TORRENTIAL TROPICAL RAIN RATES.
RESIDENTS THROUGHOUT EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD NOT LET THEIR
GUARD DOWN CONCERNING THE FLOOD THREAT DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.

...TORNADOES...

THERE WILL BE A VERY LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO ACROSS
VOLUSIA AND LAKE COUNTIES TODAY. IF A TORNADO DOES DEVELOP...IT
SHOULD BE BRIEF AND SHORT LIVED.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND NOON...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-221300-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
853 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

FAY HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY JUST OFFSHORE THE VOLUSIA
COUNTY COAST DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. FAY SHOULD RESUME A
SLOW WESTERLY MOTION THIS MORNING...FINALLY ADVANCING INLAND.


...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS PERSIST IN THE OPEN ATLANTIC AS FAY
REMAINS JUST OFFSHORE. BUOY 41009 HAS BEEN REPORTING GUSTS AROUND
40 KNOTS DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. SEAS ARE OVER 10 FEET
EXCEPT NEAR THE COAST FROM CAPE CANAVERAL SOUTHWARD WHERE HEIGHTS
WERE 4 TO 6 FEET. NUMEROUS SQUALLS PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS
ARE ALSO OCCURRING ACROSS MOST OF THE COASTAL WATERS. SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WIND AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND NOON...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$

FLZ041-044>046-053-144-212200-
/O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080821T2200Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-
853 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
THIS AFTERNOON...

...NEW INFORMATION...

BANDS OF INTENSE RAIN HAVE BEGUN TO INCREASE ACROSS ORANGE AND
SEMINOLE COUNTIES. RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN
HAVE FALLEN BETWEEN SANFORD AND CHRISTMAS IN THE LAST THREE HOURS.  AS
FAY TRACKS SLOWLY INLAND TODAY...THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL
FLOODING WILL REMAIN HIGH ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL FLORIDA AS
ADDITIONAL RAINBANDS DEVELOP NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE STORM CENTER
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. A RAIN BAND PASSING OVER SANFORD PRODUCED A
WIND GUST NEAR MPH AROUND 8 AM THIS MORNING. WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH
WILL BE COMMON TODAY...MAINLY IN SQUALLS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING INLAND COUNTIES...LAKE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...OSCEOLA...
AND
WESTERN VOLUSIA.


...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAINLY IN GUSTS...WILL CONTINUE
TODAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE CIRCULATION
CENTER OF FAY...ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHERN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA
COUNTIES. WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON...
ESPECIALLY FROM OSCEOLA AND BREVARD COUNTIES NORTHWARD. FURTHER
TO THE SOUTH ACROSS INDIAN RIVER AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES...WINDS
WILL BE SOMEWHAT LOWER BUT STILL WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH OF 40 MPH IN SQUALLS.


...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE CENTER OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY...IMPACTING MOST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY INCREASE AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY
INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN RATES THROUGH MID MORNING SHOULD REMAIN
AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR...BUT TORRENTIAL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES
PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY. IF TORRENTIAL CELLS
PERSIST...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY. EARLY
TODAY...COVERAGE OF RAIN WILL BE LESS SOUTH OF OSCEOLA AND
BREVARD COUNTIES...BUT SHOULD INCREASE EVEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
COUNTIES LATER TODAY.

AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL FLORIDA BY LATE FRIDAY. EVEN FAR FROM THE
CENTER AND AFTER PASSAGE OF THE TROPICAL STORM...CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO DEVELOP AND
PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS WITH TORRENTIAL TROPICAL RAIN RATES.
RESIDENTS THROUGHOUT EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD NOT LET THEIR
GUARD DOWN CONCERNING THE FLOOD THREAT DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.


...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND NOON...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$




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