[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 202359
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...FAY BACK OVER WATER AND SLIGHTLY STRONGER...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED JUST OFF THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA NEAR LATITUDE
29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.3 WEST ABOUT 45 MILES...75 KM...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

FAY HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT A
SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TONIGHT...
WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY. ON THIS
TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA
ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AND FROM NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE RADARS INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE
CENTER OF FAY REMAINS OVER WATER TONIGHT...BUT WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WAS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
30 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...29.0 N...80.3 W.
MOVEMENT...STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB/BROWN

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