[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 201746 PAA
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
146 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...EXTREME FLOODING EXPECTED FOR BREVARD COUNTY AND EAST OSCEOLA
COUNTY...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS WITHIN
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL INLAND
COUNTIES WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA EXCEPT OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR VOLUSIA...BREVARD...
INDIAN RIVER AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC
WATERS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS STILL LOCATED
IN THE GENERAL VICINITY OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

FLZ047-054-059-141-147-211800-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
146 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...EXTREME FLOODING EXPECTED FOR BREVARD COUNTY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE FLOOD THREAT FOR BREVARD COUNTY IS EXTREME!

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN RIVER...
BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THIS IS A HISTORIC AND HAZARDOUS RAINFALL EVENT ACROSS THE AREA!
LIFE AND PROPERTY ARE IN JEOPARDY!

THERE IS AN EXTREME THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FOR THE LOCAL
AREA FROM HEAVY RAIN...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR LOCALLY HIGHER
RAINFALL TOTALS TO WELL EXCEED FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE. THIS IS
ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR BREVARD AND EAST OSCEOLA COUNTIES. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY REACH AS MUCH AS 30 INCHES FOR EVENT TOTALS...WITH
ANOTHER 5 TO 10 INCHES EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON!

ACTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN...NOW... FOR AN EXTREME IMPACT FROM
INLAND FLOODING! SCATTERED LOCATIONS MAY EXPERIENCE MAJOR
FLOODING...AMONG MANY LOCATIONS OF MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IN
BREVARD AND EAST OSCEOLA COUNTIES! FLOODING WILL BE FURTHER ACCENTUATED
IN LOW LYING SPOTS AND NEAR RIVERS AND LAKES!

TAKE ACTION NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROERPTY! DO NOT GO OUT ONTO
THE ROADWAYS...AS DRAINAGE DITCHES AND RETENTION PONDS ARE
OVERFLOWING IN BREVARD COUNTY! THE ROADS ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND
IT IS VERY DANGEROUS TO DRIVE! DO NOT DRIVE ACROSS PLACES WHERE
WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH COVERS THE ROAD AS THEY MAY BE WASHED OUT!

IF YOU HAVE A LIFE THREATENING EMERGENCY...CALL 9 1 1.

IF YOU NEED GUIDANCE ON WHAT TO DO IF WATER THREATENS YOUR
HOME...CONTACT CITY OR COUNTY OFFICIALS WITH EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

FAY CONTINUES TO BE A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THREAT FOR ESPECIALLY
BREVARD COUNTY. HEAVY RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO PIVOT AROUND THE
CENTER OF FAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN BANDS CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHERN
BREVARD COUNTY IN THE SAME AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED
EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS OF RAIN OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS.

DURING MAJOR INLAND FLOODING...AREA RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES CAN
OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS. SMALL STREAMS...
CREEKS...CANALS...AND DRAINAGE DITCHES CAN BECOME DANGEROUS RIVERS.
IN FLATTER TERRAIN...EXTENSIVE INUNDATION OFTEN OCCURS COVERING
BOTH PRIMARY AND SECONDARY ROADS. IN URBAN PLACES...WIDESPREAD
INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE WITH STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOMING
RIVERS OF MOVING WATER. OVERALL...MAJOR DAMAGE RESULTS FROM FLASH
FLOODING AND RAPID INUNDATION...WHICH CAN GREATLY IMPACT MANY
BUILDINGS AND ROADS...AND PROMPT MANY EVACUATIONS.

RADAR ESTIMATES AND RAIN GAGE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT 8 TO 12
INCHES HAS FALLEN OVER A LARGE AREA...WITH ISOLATED SPOTS OVER 20
INCHES DURING THE PAST 48 HOURS ALONG THE COAST FROM CENTRAL
BREVARD COUNTY SOUTH...AND INLAND TO OSCEOLA COUNTY. MINOR TO MODERATE
FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION.
IMPORTANTLY...MODERATE TO EXTREME FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY. HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES
TO FALL! ANOTHER 5 TO 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE!

RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS THROUGH 8 AM INCLUDE OVER 12 INCHES AT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE...13.37 INCHES AT FORT
PIERCE...13.83 IN STUART AND 21.70 INCHES IN NORTH MELBOURNE.
PLEASE UNDERSTAND...THIS DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR RAIN THAT HAS
OCCURRED DURING THE PAST TWO HOURS!

THE SLOW MOTION OF FAY WILL CAUSE VERY HEAVY RAIN TO CONTINUE TO
FALL ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY THROUGH AT LEAST
THE AFTERNOON. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN AFFECT THROUGH 430
PM FOR BREVARD COUNTY. NUMEROUS ROADWAYS HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH
STANDING WATER WHICH ARE IMPASSABLE IN SPOTS.

ON THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND ASTOR...THERE IS
CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. THE LATEST STAGE HEIGHTS AT LAKE
HARNEY...SANFORD...DELAND...AND ASTOR ARE ALL BELOW RIVER FLOOD
STAGE. RAIN TOTALS ALONG THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL INCREASE NORTH
OF LAKE HARNEY TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS OF THIS MORNING...THE STAGE AT
ASTOR IS EXPECTED TO REACH 2.5 FEET BY LATE FRIDAY ABOVE THE ACTION
STAGE OF 2.3 FEET...BUT BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 2.8 FEET.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY ALONG
THE COAST OF NORTHERN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES WIND GUSTS
BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT AND EARLY
THURSDAY. FURTHER TO THE SOUTH ACROSS INDIAN RIVER AND SAINT
LUCIE COUNTIES WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT LOWER BUT STILL GUSTING TO
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH OF 40 MPH THROUGH THIS EVENING. CONDITIONS
SHOULD IMPROVE SOUTH OF BREVARD COUNTY TONIGHT BUT NOT UNTIL
FRIDAY FROM BREVARD AND NORTH.

THERE IS STILL A DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF FAY.
HOWEVER SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION OF FAY APPEARS MUCH
LESS LIKELY AS IT TRACKS VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST. RESIDENTS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY CLOSELY.

...TORNADOES...
AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES NORTH NEAR THE COAST...THE FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR TORNADOES WILL ALSO MOVE SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE
CENTRAL PENINSULA. A LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL
LINGER TODAY AND TONIGHT...PRIMARILY ACROSS VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN
LAKE COUNTIES COUNTY IN ASSOCIATION WITH FAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS WINDS CONTINUE TO SHIFT OFFSHORE SOUTH OF THE CAPE...STORM SURGE
CONCERNS WILL REMAIN MINIMAL. HIGH SURF AND A HIGH THREAT FOR RIP
CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE TODAY. TO THE NORTH OF THE CAPE...TIDES MAY
RUN 2 TO 3 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL MID DAY TODAY AND AGAIN NEAR MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. STORM SURGE CONCERNS WILL BE HIGHEST ALONG THE NORTHERN
VOLUSIA COAST TONIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.


$$

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-211800-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
146 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY REMAINS ALONG THE BREVARD COUNTY COAST WITH ONLY
MINIMAL MOTION TO THE NORTH RIGHT ALONG THE COASTLINE. FAY IS
FORECAST TO TRACK RIGHT ALONG THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST
THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE HEADING BACK WEST NEAR DAYTONA BEACH
THURSDAY MORNING. SINCE FAY WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO LAND IT NO LONGER
IS EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY AND SHOULD STAY AT TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST ACROSS NORTHERN SECTION OF
FLORIDA THROUGH FRIDAY.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH ALONG
THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 35 TO 40 KNOTS AND SEAS OVER THE
15 FEET WILL MAKE BOATING EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS FOR SMALL CRAFT.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

$$

FLZ041-044>046-144-211800-
/O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080821T2200Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN LAKE-
146 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY REMAINS ALONG THE BREVARD COUNTY COAST WITH ONLY
MINIMAL MOTION TO THE NORTH RIGHT ALONG THE COASTLINE. FAY IS
FORECAST TO TRACK RIGHT ALONG THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST
THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE HEADING BACK WEST NEAR DAYTONA BEACH
THURSDAY MORNING. SINCE FAY WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO LAND IT NO LONGER
IS EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY AND SHOULD STAY AT TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST ACROSS NORTHERN SECTION OF
FLORIDA THROUGH FRIDAY.

...WINDS...
AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD NEAR THE EAST COAST...WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE INTERIOR INCLUDING AROUND METRO
ORLANDO. WINDS WILL STILL FREQUENTLY REACH 25 MPH...AND UP TO 40
MPH IN SHOWERS.

THE THREAT FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS GUSTS WILL CONTINUE
TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY ACROSS NORTHERN INTERIOR PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING INLAND VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN LAKE
COUNTIES. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE
WEST NORTHWEST JUST NORTH OF VOLUSIA COUNTY ON THURSDAY. SOUTH OF
THE CIRCULATION CENTER...GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE CAN
BE EXPECTED...WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY ACROSS INLAND VOLUSIA
AND NORTHERN LAKE COUNTIES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
FAY CONTINUES TO BE A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THREAT FOR ESPECIALLY
BREVARD COUNTY AND EXTENDING INTO PORTIONS OF OSCEOLA COUNTY. HEAVY
RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO PIVOT AROUND THE CENTER OF FAY. THE
HEAVIEST RAIN BANDS ARE NOW ACROSS SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY IN THE
SAME AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS OF RAIN
OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS.

RADAR ESTIMATES AND RAIN GAGE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT 6 TO 10
INCHES HAS FALLEN OVER A LARGE AREA...WITH ISOLATED SPOTS OVER 15
INCHES DURING THE PAST 48 HOURS ALONG THE COAST FROM CENTRAL
BREVARD COUNTY SOUTH...AND INLAND TO OSCEOLA AND OKEECHOBEE
COUNTIES. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING OCCURRED ACROSS MUCH OF THIS
REGION.

RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS THROUGH 8 AM INCLUDE OVER 12 INCHES AT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE...13.37 INCHES AT FORT
PIERCE...13.83 IN STUART AND 21.70 INCHES IN NORTH MELBOURNE.

ON THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND ASTOR...THERE IS
CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. THE LATEST STAGE HEIGHTS AT
LAKE HARNEY...SANFORD...DELAND...AND ASTOR ARE ALL BELOW RIVER
FLOOD STAGE. RAIN TOTALS ALONG THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL INCREASE
NORTH OF LAKE HARNEY TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS OF THIS MORNING...THE
STAGE AT ASTOR IS EXPECTED TO REACH 2.5 FEET BY LATE FRIDAY ABOVE
ACTION STAGE OF 2.3 FEET...BUT BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 2.8 FEET.

...TORNADOES...
AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES NORTH NEAR THE COAST...THE FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR TORNADOES WILL ALSO MOVE SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE
CENTRAL PENINSULA. A LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL
LINGER TODAY AND TONIGHT...PRIMARILY ACROSS VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN
LAKE COUNTIES COUNTY IN ASSOCIATION WITH FAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$

FLZ053-202200-
/O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T2200Z/
OSCEOLA-
146 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...EXTREME FLOODING FOR EAST OSCEOLA COUNTY EXPECTED...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE FLOOD THREAT FOR EAST OSCEOLA COUNTY IS EXTREME!

...WINDS...
AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD NEAR THE EAST COAST...WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE INTERIOR INCLUDING AROUND METRO
ORLANDO. WINDS WILL STILL FREQUENTLY REACH 25 MPH...AND UP TO 40
MPH IN SHOWERS.

THE THREAT FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS GUSTS WILL CONTINUE
TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY ACROSS NORTHERN INTERIOR PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING INLAND VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN LAKE
COUNTIES. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE
WEST NORTHWEST JUST NORTH OF VOLUSIA COUNTY ON THURSDAY. SOUTH OF
THE CIRCULATION CENTER...GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE CAN
BE EXPECTED...WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY ACROSS INLAND VOLUSIA
AND NORTHERN LAKE COUNTIES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THIS IS A HISTORIC AND HAZARDOUS RAINFALL EVENT ACROSS THE AREA!

THERE IS AN EXTREME THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FOR THE LOCAL
AREA FROM HEAVY RAIN...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR LOCALLY HIGHER
RAINFALL TOTALS TO WELL EXCEED FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE. THIS IS
ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR BREVARD AND EAST OSCEOLA COUNTIES. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY REACH AS MUCH AS 30 INCHES FOR EVENT TOTALS...WITH
ANOTHER 5 TO 10 INCHES EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON!

ACTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN FOR THE POTENTIAL OF AN EXTREME IMPACT
FROM INLAND FLOODING! SCATTERED LOCATIONS MAY EXPERIENCE MAJOR
FLOODING...AMONG MANY LOCATIONS OF MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IN
BREVARD AND EAST OSCEOLA COUNTIES! FLOODING WILL BE ACCENTUATED
IN LOW LYING SPOTS AND NEAR RIVERS AND LAKES!

TAKE ACTION NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROERPTY! DO NOT GO OUT ONTO
THE ROADS...AS DRAINAGE DITCHES AND RETENTION PONDS ARE
OVERFLOWING! THE ROADS ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND IT IS VERY
DANGEROUS TO DRIVE! DO NOT DRIVE ACROSS PLACES WHERE WATER OF
UNKNOWN DEPTH COVERS THE ROAD AS THEY MAY BE WASHED OUT!

FAY CONTINUES TO BE A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THREAT FOR ESPECIALLY
BREVARD COUNTY. HEAVY RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO PIVOT AROUND THE
CENTER OF FAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN BANDS CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHERN
BREVARD COUNTY IN THE SAME AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED
EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS OF RAIN OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS.

DURING MAJOR INLAND FLOODING...AREA RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES CAN
OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS. SMALL STREAMS...
CREEKS...CANALS...AND DRAINAGE DITCHES CAN BECOME DANGEROUS RIVERS.
IN FLATTER TERRAIN...EXTENSIVE INUNDATION OFTEN OCCURS COVERING
BOTH PRIMARY AND SECONDARY ROADS. IN URBAN PLACES...WIDESPREAD
INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE WITH STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOMING
RIVERS OF MOVING WATER. OVERALL...MAJOR DAMAGE RESULTS FROM FLASH
FLOODING AND RAPID INUNDATION...WHICH CAN GREATLY IMPACT MANY
BUILDINGS AND ROADS...AND PROMPT MANY EVACUATIONS.

RADAR ESTIMATES AND RAIN GAGE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT 8 TO 12
INCHES HAS FALLEN OVER A LARGE AREA...WITH ISOLATED SPOTS OVER 20
INCHES DURING THE PAST 48 HOURS ALONG THE COAST FROM CENTRAL
BREVARD COUNTY SOUTH...AND INLAND TO OSCEOLA COUNTY. MINOR TO MODERATE
FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION.
IMPORTANTLY...MODERATE TO EXTREME FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY. HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES
TO FALL!

RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS THROUGH 8 AM INCLUDE OVER 12 INCHES AT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE...13.37 INCHES AT FORT
PIERCE...13.83 IN STUART AND 21.70 INCHES IN NORTH MELBOURNE. THIS
DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR RAIN THAT HAS OCCURRED DURING THE PAST TWO HOURS!

THE SLOW MOTION OF FAY WILL CAUSE VERY HEAVY RAIN TO CONTINUE TO
FALL ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY THROUGH AT LEAST
THE AFTERNOON. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN AFFECT THROUGH 430
PM FOR BREVARD COUNTY. NUMEROUS ROADWAYS HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH
STANDING WATER WHICH ARE IMPASSABLE IN SPOTS.

ON THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND ASTOR...THERE IS
CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. THE LATEST STAGE HEIGHTS AT LAKE
HARNEY...SANFORD...DELAND...AND ASTOR ARE ALL BELOW RIVER FLOOD
STAGE. RAIN TOTALS ALONG THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL INCREASE NORTH
OF LAKE HARNEY TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS OF THIS MORNING...THE STAGE AT
ASTOR IS EXPECTED TO REACH 2.5 FEET BY LATE FRIDAY ABOVE THE ACTION
STAGE OF 2.3 FEET...BUT BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 2.8 FEET.

...TORNADOES...
AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES NORTH NEAR THE COAST...THE FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR TORNADOES WILL ALSO MOVE SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE
CENTRAL PENINSULA. A LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL
LINGER TODAY AND TONIGHT...PRIMARILY ACROSS VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN
LAKE COUNTIES COUNTY IN ASSOCIATION WITH FAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.


$$




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