[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 201636
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1236 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL ONLY VERY SLOWLY MOVE NORTH TODAY AND
WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING RAINS...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS WITHIN
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
 TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL INLAND
COUNTIES WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA EXCEPT OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR VOLUSIA...BREVARD...INDIAN
RIVER AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR VERY NEAR CAPE
CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

FLZ064-201745-
/O.CAN.KMLB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MARTIN-
1236 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY HAVE LIFTED NORTH OF THE AREA.
GUSTY WEST WINDS AND OCCASIONAL HEAVY SHOWERS ON THE FRINGE OF FAY
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. MORE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS
POSSIBLE WITH PASSING SHOWERS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A WIND ADVISORY IS IN AFFECT FOR THE AREA THROUGH 6 PM.
A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES TODAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 3 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$

AMZ570-572-211645-
/O.UPG.KMLB.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
1236 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY REMAINS ALONG THE BREVARD COUNTY COAST WITH ONLY
MINIMAL MOTION TO THE NORTH RIGHT ALONG THE COASTLINE. FAY IS
FORECAST TO TRACK RIGHT ALONG THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST
THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE HEADING BACK WEST NEAR DAYTONA BEACH
THURSDAY MORNING. SINCE FAY WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO LAND IT NO LONGER
IS EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY AND SHOULD STAY AT TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST ACROSS NORTHERN SECTION OF
FLORIDA THROUGH FRIDAY.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH ALONG
THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 35 TO 40 KNOTS AND SEAS OVER THE
15 FEET WILL MAKE BOATING EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS FOR SMALL CRAFT.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

$$

FLZ047-054-059-141-147-211645-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
1236 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...EXTREME FLOODING EXPECTED FOR BREVARD COUNTY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY REMAINS ALONG THE BREVARD COUNTY COAST WITH ONLY
MINIMAL MOTION TO THE NORTH RIGHT ALONG THE COASTLINE. FAY IS
FORECAST TO TRACK RIGHT ALONG THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST
THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE HEADING BACK WEST NEAR DAYTONA BEACH
THURSDAY MORNING. SINCE FAY WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO LAND IT NO LONGER
IS EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY AND SHOULD STAY AT TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST ACROSS NORTHERN SECTION OF
FLORIDA THROUGH FRIDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN RIVER...
BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
FAY CONTINUES TO BE A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THREAT FOR ESPECIALLY
BREVARD COUNTY. HEAVY RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO PIVOT AROUND THE CENTER
OF FAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN BANDS ARE NOW ACROSS SOUTHERN BREVARD
COUNTY IN THE SAME AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED EXCESSIVE
AMOUNTS OF RAIN OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS.

RADAR ESTIMATES AND RAIN GAGE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT 6 TO 10
INCHES HAS FALLEN OVER A LARGE AREA...WITH ISOLATED SPOTS OVER 15
INCHES DURING THE PAST 48 HOURS ALONG THE COAST FROM CENTRAL
BREVARD COUNTY SOUTH...AND INLAND TO OSCEOLA AND OKEECHOBEE
COUNTIES. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING OCCURRED ACROSS MUCH OF THIS
REGION. MODERATE TO SEVERE FLOODING HAS OCCURRED ACROSS CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY.

RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS THROUGH 8 AM INCLUDE OVER 12 INCHES AT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE...13.37 INCHES AT FORT
PIERCE...13.83 IN STUART AND 21.70 INCHES IN NORTH MELBOURNE.

THE SLOW MOTION OF FAY WILL CAUSE VERY HEAVY RAIN TO CONTINUE TO
FALL ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY THROUGH AT LEAST
EARLY AFTERNOON. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAIN IN AFFECT THROUGH
430 PM FOR BREVARD COUNTY. NUMEROUS ROADWAYS HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH
STANDING WATER WHICH ARE IMPASSABLE IN SPOTS. DRIVERS SHOULD
REMAIN OFF THE ROADS...AS TRAVEL IS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE IN SOME
AREAS.

ON THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND ASTOR...THERE IS
CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. THE LATEST STAGE HEIGHTS AT LAKE
HARNEY...SANFORD...DELAND...AND ASTOR ARE ALL BELOW RIVER FLOOD
STAGE. RAIN TOTALS ALONG THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL INCREASE NORTH
OF LAKE HARNEY TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS OF THIS MORNING...THE STAGE AT
ASTOR IS EXPECTED TO REACH 2.5 FEET BY LATE FRIDAY ABOVE THE ACTION
STAGE OF 2.3 FEET...BUT BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 2.8 FEET.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY ALONG
THE COAST OF NORTHERN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES WIND GUSTS
BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT AND EARLY
THURSDAY. FURTHER TO THE SOUTH ACROSS INDIAN RIVER AND SAINT
LUCIE COUNTIES WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT LOWER BUT STILL GUSTING TO
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH OF 40 MPH THROUGH THIS EVENING. CONDITIONS
SHOULD IMPROVE SOUTH OF BREVARD COUNTY TONIGHT BUT NOT UNTIL
FRIDAY FROM BREVARD AND NORTH.

THERE IS STILL A DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF FAY.
HOWEVER SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION OF FAY APPEARS MUCH
LESS LIKELY AS IT TRACKS VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST. RESIDENTS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY CLOSELY.

...TORNADOES...
AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES NORTH NEAR THE COAST...THE FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR TORNADOES WILL ALSO MOVE SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE
CENTRAL PENINSULA. A LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL
LINGER TODAY AND TONIGHT...PRIMARILY ACROSS VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN
LAKE COUNTIES COUNTY IN ASSOCIATION WITH FAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS WINDS CONTINUE TO SHIFT OFFSHORE SOUTH OF THE CAPE...STORM SURGE
CONCERNS WILL REMAIN MINIMAL. HIGH SURF AND A HIGH THREAT FOR RIP
CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE TODAY. TO THE NORTH OF THE CAPE...TIDES MAY
RUN 2 TO 3 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL MID DAY TODAY AND AGAIN NEAR MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. STORM SURGE CONCERNS WILL BE HIGHEST ALONG THE NORTHERN
VOLUSIA COAST TONIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 3 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$

AMZ550-552-555-575-211645-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
1236 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY REMAINS ALONG THE BREVARD COUNTY COAST WITH ONLY
MINIMAL MOTION TO THE NORTH RIGHT ALONG THE COASTLINE. FAY IS
FORECAST TO TRACK RIGHT ALONG THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST
THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE HEADING BACK WEST NEAR DAYTONA BEACH
THURSDAY MORNING. SINCE FAY WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO LAND IT NO LONGER
IS EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY AND SHOULD STAY AT TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST ACROSS NORTHERN SECTION OF
FLORIDA THROUGH FRIDAY.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH ALONG
THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 35 TO 40 KNOTS AND SEAS OVER THE
15 FEET WILL MAKE BOATING EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS FOR SMALL CRAFT.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

$$

FLZ041-044>046-144-211645-
/O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080821T2200Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN LAKE-
1236 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY REMAINS ALONG THE BREVARD COUNTY COAST WITH ONLY
MINIMAL MOTION TO THE NORTH RIGHT ALONG THE COASTLINE. FAY IS
FORECAST TO TRACK RIGHT ALONG THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST
THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE HEADING BACK WEST NEAR DAYTONA BEACH
THURSDAY MORNING. SINCE FAY WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO LAND IT NO LONGER
IS EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY AND SHOULD STAY AT TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST ACROSS NORTHERN SECTION OF
FLORIDA THROUGH FRIDAY.

...WINDS...
AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD NEAR THE EAST COAST...WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE INTERIOR INCLUDING AROUND METRO
ORLANDO. WINDS WILL STILL FREQUENTLY REACH 25 MPH...AND UP TO 40
MPH IN SHOWERS.

THE THREAT FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS GUSTS WILL CONTINUE
TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY ACROSS NORTHERN INTERIOR PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING INLAND VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN LAKE
COUNTIES. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE
WEST NORTHWEST JUST NORTH OF VOLUSIA COUNTY ON THURSDAY. SOUTH OF
THE CIRCULATION CENTER...GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE CAN
BE EXPECTED...WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY ACROSS INLAND VOLUSIA
AND NORTHERN LAKE COUNTIES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
FAY CONTINUES TO BE A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THREAT FOR ESPECIALLY
BREVARD COUNTY AND EXTENDING INTO PORTIONS OF OSCEOLA COUNTY. HEAVY
RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO PIVOT AROUND THE CENTER OF FAY. THE
HEAVIEST RAIN BANDS ARE NOW ACROSS SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY IN THE
SAME AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS OF RAIN
OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS.

RADAR ESTIMATES AND RAIN GAGE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT 6 TO 10
INCHES HAS FALLEN OVER A LARGE AREA...WITH ISOLATED SPOTS OVER 15
INCHES DURING THE PAST 48 HOURS ALONG THE COAST FROM CENTRAL
BREVARD COUNTY SOUTH...AND INLAND TO OSCEOLA AND OKEECHOBEE
COUNTIES. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING OCCURRED ACROSS MUCH OF THIS
REGION.

RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS THROUGH 8 AM INCLUDE OVER 12 INCHES AT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE...13.37 INCHES AT FORT
PIERCE...13.83 IN STUART AND 21.70 INCHES IN NORTH MELBOURNE.

ON THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND ASTOR...THERE IS
CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. THE LATEST STAGE HEIGHTS AT
LAKE HARNEY...SANFORD...DELAND...AND ASTOR ARE ALL BELOW RIVER
FLOOD STAGE. RAIN TOTALS ALONG THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL INCREASE
NORTH OF LAKE HARNEY TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS OF THIS MORNING...THE
STAGE AT ASTOR IS EXPECTED TO REACH 2.5 FEET BY LATE FRIDAY ABOVE
ACTION STAGE OF 2.3 FEET...BUT BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 2.8 FEET.

...TORNADOES...
AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES NORTH NEAR THE COAST...THE FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR TORNADOES WILL ALSO MOVE SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE
CENTRAL PENINSULA. A LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL
LINGER TODAY AND TONIGHT...PRIMARILY ACROSS VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN
LAKE COUNTIES COUNTY IN ASSOCIATION WITH FAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 3 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$

FLZ053-202200-
/O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T2200Z/
OSCEOLA-
1236 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY REMAINS ALONG THE BREVARD COUNTY COAST WITH ONLY
MINIMAL MOTION TO THE NORTH RIGHT ALONG THE COASTLINE. FAY IS
FORECAST TO TRACK RIGHT ALONG THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST
THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE HEADING BACK WEST NEAR DAYTONA BEACH
THURSDAY MORNING. SINCE FAY WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO LAND IT NO LONGER
IS EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY AND SHOULD STAY AT TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST ACROSS NORTHERN SECTION OF
FLORIDA THROUGH FRIDAY.

...WINDS...
AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD NEAR THE EAST COAST...WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE INTERIOR INCLUDING AROUND METRO
ORLANDO. WINDS WILL STILL FREQUENTLY REACH 25 MPH...AND UP TO 40
MPH IN SHOWERS.

THE THREAT FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS GUSTS WILL CONTINUE
TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY ACROSS NORTHERN INTERIOR PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING INLAND VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN LAKE
COUNTIES. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE
WEST NORTHWEST JUST NORTH OF VOLUSIA COUNTY ON THURSDAY. SOUTH OF
THE CIRCULATION CENTER...GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE CAN
BE EXPECTED...WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY ACROSS INLAND VOLUSIA
AND NORTHERN LAKE COUNTIES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
FAY CONTINUES TO BE A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THREAT FOR ESPECIALLY
BREVARD COUNTY AND EXTENDING INTO PORTIONS OF OSCEOLA COUNTY. HEAVY
RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO PIVOT AROUND THE CENTER OF FAY. THE
HEAVIEST RAIN BANDS ARE NOW ACROSS SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY IN THE
SAME AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RELIEVED EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS OF RAIN
OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS.

RADAR ESTIMATES AND RAIN GAGE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT 6 TO 10
INCHES HAS FALLEN OVER A LARGE AREA...WITH ISOLATED SPOTS OVER 15
INCHES DURING THE PAST 48 HOURS ALONG THE COAST FROM CENTRAL
BREVARD COUNTY SOUTH...AND INLAND TO OSCEOLA AND OKEECHOBEE
COUNTIES. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING OCCURRED ACROSS MUCH OF THIS
REGION.

THE SLOW MOTION OF FAY WILL CAUSE VERY HEAVY RAIN TO CONTINUE TO
FALL ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY EXTENDING INTO
OSCEOLA COUNTY THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY AFTERNOON. A FLASH FLOOD
WARNING REMAIN IN AFFECT THROUGH 430 PM FOR BREVARD COUNTY.
NUMEROUS ROADWAYS HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH STANDING WATER WHICH ARE
IMPASSABLE IN SPOTS. DRIVERS SHOULD REMAIN OFF THE ROADS...AS
TRAVEL IS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS.

RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS THROUGH 8 AM INCLUDE OVER 12 INCHES AT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE...13.37 INCHES AT FORT
PIERCE...13.83 IN STUART AND 21.70 INCHES IN NORTH MELBOURNE.

ON THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND ASTOR...THERE IS
CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. THE LATEST STAGE HEIGHTS AT
LAKE HARNEY...SANFORD...DELAND...AND ASTOR ARE ALL BELOW RIVER
FLOOD STAGE. RAIN TOTALS ALONG THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL INCREASE
NORTH OF LAKE HARNEY TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS OF THIS MORNING...THE
STAGE AT ASTOR IS EXPECTED TO REACH 2.5 FEET BY LATE FRIDAY ABOVE
ACTION STAGE OF 2.3 FEET...BUT BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 2.8 FEET.

...TORNADOES...
AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES NORTH NEAR THE COAST...THE FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR TORNADOES WILL ALSO MOVE SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE
CENTRAL PENINSULA. A LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL
LINGER TODAY AND TONIGHT...PRIMARILY ACROSS VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN
LAKE COUNTIES COUNTY IN ASSOCIATION WITH FAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 3 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$




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