[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 192216 PAA
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
616 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...TROPICAL STORM FAY KEEPING A TIGHT CIRCULATION OVER OKEECHOBEE
COUNTY...


...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS WITHIN
ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.


...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL INLAND
COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COASTAL
COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...AS WELL AS THE COASTAL WATERS
AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH.

A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COUNTIES.

AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OSCEOLA...OKEECHOBEE...
MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN RIVER...AND BREVARD COUNTIES UNTIL
LOCAL FLOOD WATERS DRAIN AND SUBSIDE.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR INDIAN RIVER...BREVARD...
VOLUSIA...OSCEOLA...ORANGE...AND SEMINOLE COUNTIES UNTIL 1 AM EDT
ON WEDNESDAY. THIS INCLUDES THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.


...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST OR ABOUT
60 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MELBOURNE FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED ON
WEDNESDAY. THIS TRACK SHOULD BRING FAY OVER WATER NEAR THE EAST
COAST OF NORTH FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AFTER FAY CROSSES OUT OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA...THE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY IS
MUCH LOWER!


FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-202230-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
616 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY IS NOW TRACKING
THROUGH EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE TORNADO AND FLOOD THREATS REMAIN HIGH FOR BREVARD COUNTY...
AND INTO PARTS OF OSCEOLA AND ORANGE COUNTIES. ADDITIONAL WARNINGS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH.

THE CENTER OF FAY IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE EAST COAST NEAR CAPE
CANAVERAL AROUND MIDNIGHT. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
MAIN CORE OF FAYS CIRCULATION...WITH GUSTS JUST UNDER HURRICANE
FORCE.


...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN
RIVER...BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.


...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS THAT LIVE IN PROXIMITY OF THE FORECAST CENTER TRACK OF
FAY...AND TO ITS RIGHT...SHOULD STAY INDOORS! IT IS NOT WISE TO BE
OUTDOORS THIS EVENING. PEOPLE SHOULD BE PREPARED TO QUICKLY MOVE
TO THEIR SAFE ROOM WITHIN THEIR HOME OR SHELTER IF A TORNADO
WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THEIR AREA...OR IF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE
REALIZED.

AGAIN...UNTIL FAY PASSES...STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS!
TREAT THE PASSING OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF FAY AS YOU WOULD A
TORNADO. RESIDENTS OF OKEECHOBEE...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...AND
BREVARD COUNTIES SHOULD TAKE THIS ADVICE VERY SERIOUSLY!


...WINDS...
STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 55 TO 70 MPH ARE STILL
BEING INDICATED ABOUT THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF FAY. THE OKEECHOBEE
AIRPORT GUSTED TO 58 MPH AS THE CENTER PASSED BY JUST TO THE
WEST.

FAY CONTINUES TO REMAIN ORGANIZED DESPITE BEING OVER LAND. THE
EYEWALL FEATURE...HAVING VERY HEAVY SQUALLS...WAS MOVING GENERALLY
NORTH AT 10 MPH. THIS IS A FEATURE OF CONSIDERABLE CONCERN AND
WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY...AS IT MOVES THROUGH OKEECHOBEE COUNTY
AND TOWARD SOUTH OSCEOLA COUNTY AND WEST INDIAN RIVER COUNTY.

WINDS WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN WITHIN A DOMINANT RAINBAND WHERE
CONVECTIVE GUSTS MAY BECOME LOCALLY SEVERE IN EXCESS OF 65 MPH.
THE MELBOURNE AIRPORT RECENTLY RECEIVED A GUST TO 52 MPH. THIS
BAND WILL BE LIFTING NORTH THROUGH OSCEOLA AND BREVARD COUNTY INTO
ORANGE...AND EVENTUALLY SEMINOLE COUNTY...AND SOUTH VOLUSIA
COUNTY...LATER THIS EVENING.


...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL CONTINUES TO BE HEAVY WITHIN A DOMINANT RAINBAND THROUGH
BREVARD AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES. THIS BAND APPEARS TO BE THE SOURCE
OF TORRENTIAL FLOODING RAIN WHERE AS MUCH AS 10 INCHES COULD BE
REALIZED IN SPOTS. AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WILL BE COMMON...
ESPECIALLY IN PLACES WHERE IT MOVES OVER AS IT LIFTS NORTH.
AMOUNTS WILL BE MAXIMIZED NEAR THE COAST...AND ALONG THE CENTER
TRACK OF FAY AND TO ITS IMMEDIATE RIGHT.

SOME RAIN TOTALS SO FAR:

OKEECHOBEE...6.88 INCHES
FORT PIERCE...6.85 INCHES
VERO BEACH...5.30 INCHES
MELBOURNE...3.97 INCHES
MELBOURNE BEACH...5.57 INCHES
JUNO BEACH...5.48 INCHES
JUPITER...7.48 INCHES
STUART...9.6O INCHES
PORT SAINT LUCIE...8.24 INCHES
SEBASTIAN...4.54 INCHES
PALM BAY...3.16 INCHES.

SOME OF THESE LISTED PLACES ARE STILL RECEIVING HEAVY RAIN.

ADDITIONAL FLOOD WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED FROM ORANGE COUNTY
NORTHWARD AS THE DOMINANT BAND LIFTS NORTH.

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A HIGH IMPACT FROM
INLAND FLOODING. ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY EXPERIENCE MAJOR
FLOODING...AMONG SCATTERED LOCATIONS OF MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING.
FLOODING MAY BE ACCENTUATED IN LOW LYING SPOTS AND NEAR RIVERS AND
LAKES.


...TORNADOES...
AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST
THROUGH EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...THE TORNADIC THREAT WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHWARD FROM CENTRAL BREVARD AND NORTHEAST OSCEOLA COUNTIES
ACROSS NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY BY LATE EVENING...AND INTO EASTERN
VOLUSIA COUNTY TOWARD MIDNIGHT. THE THREAT AREA ALSO INCLUDES THE
EXTREME EASTERN PORTION OF SEMINOLE AND ORANGE COUNTIES...EAST OF
THE METRO ORLANDO AND SANFORD AREAS.

THE THREAT WILL BE HIGHEST RIGHT ALONG THE COAST...FROM AROUND COCOA
BEACH NORTHWARD...AS INDIVIDUAL CELLS RACE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
AT 40 TO 45 MPH ACROSS THE BARRIER ISLAND COMMUNITIES.

THE TORNADIC POTENTIAL WILL DIMINISH AREAWIDE AS THE CENTER OF FAY
APPROACHES THE EAST COAST IN THE GENERAL VICINITY OF CAPE CANAVERAL
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.


...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 10 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.


$$

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-202230-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
616 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
SINCE FAY HAS REMAINED FAIRLY ORGANIZED OVER LAND...ONCE IT
EMERGES OFFSHORE...THERE IS A DEVELOPING CONCERN FOR POSSIBLE
HURRICANE CONDITIONS....ESPECIALLY NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL.

AS A RESULT...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY MARINERS IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL WATER AREAS...FROM JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER
BEACH AND OUT 60 NAUTICAL MILES.


...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS
OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TONIGHT. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 35 TO
45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS CAN BE EXPECTED. SEAS HAVE ALREADY
BUILT TO 8 TO 11 FEET AND THIS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT. IN
ADDITION...TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE AS
RAINBANDS ROTATE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WATERS.

LOCAL MARINERS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A HIGH
IMPACT...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS DUE TO
INTENSE WINDS AND VERY HIGH COMBINED SEAS. BAY AND INLAND WATERS
MAY BECOME VERY ROUGH. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

LATER TONIGHT...IT MAY BE NECESSARY TO ISSUE A HURRICANE WATCH OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE BREVARD COUNTY-VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE...TO
FLAGLER BEACH.

AT BEAUFORT SCALE 8...HIGH WAVES OF GREATER LENGTH FORM. AT
BEAUFORT SCALE 9...VERY HIGH WAVES BUILD WITH THE VISIBILITY
BECOMING AFFECTED BY BLOWING FOAM AND SPRAY. SMALL SHIPS MAY BE
LOST TO VIEW BEHIND WAVES.


...TORNADOES...
AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST
THROUGH EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...THE TORNADIC WATERSPOUT THREAT
WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT NORTHWARD FROM BETWEEN SEBASTIAN INLET AND
MOSQUITO LAGOON BY LATE EVENING...AND INTO THE VOLUSIA COUNTY
COASTAL WATERS AROUND MIDNIGHT.

THE THREAT WILL BE HIGHEST RIGHT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...FROM
AROUND COCOA BEACH NORTHWARD...AS INDIVIDUAL STORM CELLS RACE
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 40 TO 45 MPH ACROSS THE BARRIER
ISLANDS AND INTRACOASTAL WATERS.

THE TORNADIC WATERSPOUT POTENTIAL WILL DIMINISH AREAWIDE AS THE
CENTER OF FAY APPROACHES THE EAST COAST IN THE GENERAL VICINITY OF
PORT CANAVERAL AROUND MIDNIGHT OR THE VERY EARLY MORNING HOURS
WEDNESDAY.


...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 10 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.


$$

FLZ041-044>046-053-058-144-200800-
/O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-OKEECHOBEE-
SOUTHERN LAKE-
616 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY IS NOW TRACKING THROUGH
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...


...NEW INFORMATION...
THE TORNADO AND FLOOD THREATS REMAIN HIGH FOR BREVARD COUNTY...
AND INTO PARTS OF OSCEOLA AND ORANGE COUNTIES. ADDITIONAL WARNINGS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH.

THE CENTER OF FAY IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE EAST COAST NEAR CAPE
CANAVERAL AROUND MIDNIGHT. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
MAIN CORE OF FAYS CIRCULATION...WITH GUSTS JUST UNDER HURRICANE
FORCE.


...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...OKEECHOBEE...
OSCEOLA...ORANGE...LAKE...SEMINOLE AND WESTERN VOLUSIA.


...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS THAT LIVE IN PROXIMITY OF THE FORECAST CENTER TRACK OF
FAY...AND TO ITS RIGHT...SHOULD STAY INDOORS! IT IS NOT WISE TO BE
OUTDOORS THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY WITHIN OKEECHOBEE AND OSCEOLA
COUNTIES....AS WELL AS BREVARD AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES.
PEOPLE SHOULD BE PREPARED TO QUICKLY MOVE TO THEIR SAFE ROOM
WITHIN THEIR HOME OR SHELTER IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED FOR
THEIR AREA...OR IF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE REALIZED.

AGAIN...UNTIL FAY PASSES...STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
TREAT THE PASSING OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF FAY AS YOU WOULD A
TORNADO.


...WINDS...
STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 55 TO 70 MPH ARE STILL
BEING INDICATED ABOUT THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF FAY. THE OKEECHOBEE
AIRPORT GUSTED TO 58 MPH AS THE CENTER PASSED BY JUST TO THE
WEST.

FAY CONTINUES TO REMAIN ORGANIZED DESPITE BEING OVER LAND. THE
EYEWALL FEATURE...HAVING VERY HEAVY SQUALLS...WAS MOVING GENERALLY
NORTH AT 10 MPH. THIS IS A FEATURE OF CONSIDERABLE CONCERN AND
WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY...AS IT MOVES THROUGH OKEECHOBEE COUNTY
AND TOWARD SOUTH OSCEOLA COUNTY AND WEST INDIAN RIVER COUNTY.

WINDS WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN WITHIN A DOMINANT RAINBAND WHERE
CONVECTIVE GUSTS MAY BECOME LOCALLY SEVERE IN EXCESS OF 65 MPH.
THE MELBOURNE AIRPORT RECENTLY RECEIVED A GUST TO 52 MPH. THIS
BAND WILL BE LIFTING NORTH THROUGH OSCEOLA AND BREVARD COUNTY INTO
ORANGE...AND EVENTUALLY SEMINOLE COUNTY...AND SOUTH VOLUSIA
COUNTY...LATER THIS EVENING.


...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL CONTINUES TO BE HEAVY WITHIN A DOMINANT RAINBAND THROUGH
BREVARD AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES. THIS BAND APPEARS TO BE THE SOURCE
OF TORRENTIAL FLOODING RAIN WHERE AS MUCH AS 10 INCHES COULD BE
REALIZED IN SPOTS. AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WILL BE COMMON...
ESPECIALLY IN PLACES WHERE IT MOVES OVER AS IT LIFTS NORTH.
AMOUNTS WILL BE MAXIMIZED NEAR THE COAST...AND ALONG THE CENTER
TRACK OF FAY AND TO ITS IMMEDIATE RIGHT.

SOME RAIN TOTALS SO FAR:

OKEECHOBEE...6.88 INCHES
FORT PIERCE...6.85 INCHES
VERO BEACH...5.30 INCHES
MELBOURNE...3.97 INCHES
MELBOURNE BEACH...5.57 INCHES
JUNO BEACH...5.48 INCHES
JUPITER...7.48 INCHES
STUART...9.6O INCHES
PORT SAINT LUCIE...8.24 INCHES
SEBASTIAN...4.54 INCHES
PALM BAY...3.16 INCHES.

SOME OF THESE LISTED PLACES ARE STILL RECEIVING HEAVY RAIN.

ADDITIONAL FLOOD WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED FROM ORANGE COUNTY
NORTHWARD AS THE DOMINANT BAND LIFTS NORTH.

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A HIGH IMPACT FROM
INLAND FLOODING. ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY EXPERIENCE MAJOR
FLOODING...AMONG SCATTERED LOCATIONS OF MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING.
FLOODING MAY BE ACCENTUATED IN LOW LYING SPOTS AND NEAR RIVERS AND
LAKES.


...TORNADOES...
AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST
THROUGH EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...THE TORNADIC THREAT WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHWARD FROM CENTRAL BREVARD AND NORTHEAST OSCEOLA COUNTIES
ACROSS NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY BY LATE EVENING...AND INTO EASTERN
VOLUSIA COUNTY TOWARD MIDNIGHT. THE THREAT AREA ALSO INCLUDES THE
EXTREME EASTERN PORTION OF SEMINOLE AND ORANGE COUNTIES...EAST OF
THE METRO ORLANDO AND SANFORD AREAS.

THE THREAT WILL BE HIGHEST RIGHT ALONG THE COAST...FROM AROUND COCOA
BEACH NORTHWARD...AS INDIVIDUAL CELLS RACE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
AT 40 TO 45 MPH ACROSS THE BARRIER ISLAND COMMUNITIES.

THE TORNADIC POTENTIAL WILL DIMINISH AREAWIDE AS THE CENTER OF FAY
APPROACHES THE EAST COAST IN THE GENERAL VICINITY OF CAPE CANAVERAL
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 10 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$




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