[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 19 17:09:27 CDT 2008
WTUS82 KJAX 192208 PAA
HLSJAX
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
608 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...FAY HEADING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...
.AT 500 PM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF MELBOURNE FLORIDA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO 215 MILES
SOUTH OF MAYPORT FLORIDA.
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED ON WEDNESDAY. THIS
TRACK SHOULD BRING FAY OVER WATER NEAR THE EAST COAST OF NORTH
FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES FROM
THE CENTER. A SOUTH FLORIDA WATER MANAGEMENT STATION ALONG THE
CENTRAL KISSIMMEE RIVER RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 60
MPH...97 KM/HR.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
FLZ033-038-200330-
/O.CAN.KJAX.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080821T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KJAX.TR.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KJAX.HU.A.1006.080819T2208Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KJAX.HI.A.0001.080819T2208Z-080822T1000Z/
ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-
608 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS CANCELED...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OFF THE COAST OF EAST-
CENTRAL FLORIDA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOME A HURRICANE OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS. THIS HAS RESULTED IN THE POSTING OF HURRICANE
WATCHES FOR THE COAST AND HURRICANE WINDS WATCHES FOR INLAND
PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
NORTHEAST FLORIDA.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AN HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN A LANDFALLING HURRICANE IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WELL INLAND DURING THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. PREPARE FOR SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS...ONSHORE WINDS
COULD RESULT IN TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AND 3 TO 5 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THE AMOUNT
OF TIME THE STORM HAS TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE OPEN OCEAN AND ITS
ULTIMATE TRACK WILL DETERMINE WHETHER THESE VALUES WILL NEED TO
BE MODIFIED WITH SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS.
...WINDS...
AS FAY APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER
TONIGHT MAINLY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTS. WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE
TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE STORM IS FORECAST TO EMERGE
OVER THE ATLANTIC ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND APPROACH THE COAST ONCE AGAIN
ON THURSDAY WITH SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE. THE
HIGHEST WINDS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...OVER THE
INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY AND ON PORTIONS OF THE ST JOHNS RIVER.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 70 PERCENT
OVER THE AREA WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF A STRONG TROPICAL STORM IS
20 TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 10
TO 20 PERCENT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. SHOULD THE STORM MAINTAIN
THE FORECAST TRACK AND EXPECTED INTENSITY...THESE PROBABILITIES
WOULD INCREASE WITH TIME.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD POTENTIALLY REACH 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS THROUGH FRIDAY AS THE STORM SLOWS OFFSHORE
AND THEN APPROACHES THE COAST ONCE AGAIN. IF THE STORM MOVES VERY
SLOWLY ACROSS THE AREA RAINFALL AMOUNTS CAN BE MUCH HIGHER. THIS
AMOUNT OF RAIN CAN PRODUCE FLOODING OF ROADS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
WITH POOR DRAINAGE. KNOWN INTERSECTIONS WITH VERY POOR DRAINAGE
MAY HAVE WATER LEVELS UP TO 3 FEET. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL
HAVE WATER RISES OF 1 FOOT. IF APPROACHING A FLOODED
ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA BEGINNING
THIS EVENING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1130 PM EDT ON TUESDAY.
$$
FLZ024-025-200330-
/O.CAN.KJAX.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080821T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KJAX.TR.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KJAX.HU.A.1006.080819T2208Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KJAX.HI.A.0001.080819T2208Z-080822T1000Z/
NASSAU-DUVAL-
608 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS CANCELED...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OFF THE COAST OF EAST-
CENTRAL FLORIDA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOME A HURRICANE OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS. THIS HAS RESULTED IN THE POSTING OF HURRICANE
WATCHES FOR THE COAST AND HURRICANE WINDS WATCHES FOR INLAND
PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
NORTHEAST FLORIDA.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AN HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN A LANDFALLING HURRICANE IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WELL INLAND DURING THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. PREPARE FOR SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS...ONSHORE WINDS
COULD RESULT IN TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AND 3 TO 5 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.THE AMOUNT
OF TIME THE STORM HAS TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE OPEN OCEAN AND ITS
ULTIMATE TRACK WILL DETERMINE WHETHER THESE VALUES WILL NEED TO
BE MODIFIED WITH SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS.
...WINDS...
AS FAY APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER
TONIGHT MAINLY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTS. WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE
TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE STORM IS FORECAST TO EMERGE
OVER THE ATLANTIC ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND APPROACH THE COAST ONCE AGAIN
ON THURSDAY WITH SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE. THE
HIGHEST WINDS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...OVER THE
INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY AND ON PORTIONS OF THE ST JOHNS RIVER.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 70 PERCENT
OVER THE AREA WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF A STRONG TROPICAL STORM IS 20
TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 10 TO
20 PERCENT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. SHOULD THE STORM MAINTAIN
THE FORECAST TRACK AND EXPECTED INTENSITY...THESE PROBABILITIES
WOULD INCREASE WITH TIME.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD POTENTIALLY REACH 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS THROUGH FRIDAY AS THE STORM SLOWS OFFSHORE
AND THEN APPROACHES THE COAST ONCE AGAIN. IF THE STORM MOVES VERY
SLOWLY ACROSS THE AREA RAINFALL AMOUNTS CAN BE MUCH HIGHER. THIS
AMOUNT OF RAIN CAN PRODUCE FLOODING OF ROADS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
WITH POOR DRAINAGE. KNOWN INTERSECTIONS WITH VERY POOR DRAINAGE
MAY HAVE WATER LEVELS UP TO 3 FEET. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL
HAVE WATER RISES OF 1 FOOT. IF APPROACHING A FLOODED
ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.
PERSONS IN NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS...SUCH AS MONCRIEF
CREEK...MCCOYS CREEK AND HOGANS CREEK...SHOULD BE PREPARED TO
TAKE IMMEDIATE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE
ISSUED.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA BEGINNING
THIS EVENING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1130 PM EDT ON TUESDAY.
$$
GAZ154-166-200330-
/O.CAN.KJAX.HU.S.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KJAX.HI.A.0001.080819T2208Z-080822T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KJAX.HU.A.1006.080819T2208Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL GLYNN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
608 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OFF THE COAST OF EAST-
CENTRAL FLORIDA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOME A HURRICANE OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS. THIS HAS RESULTED IN THE POSTING OF HURRICANE
WATCHES FOR THE COAST AND HURRICANE WINDS WATCHES FOR INLAND
PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AN HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN A LANDFALLING HURRICANE IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WELL INLAND DURING THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. PREPARE FOR SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS...ONSHORE WINDS
COULD RESULT IN TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WEDNESDAY AND
3 TO 5 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.THE AMOUNT OF TIME THE
STORM HAS TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE OPEN OCEAN AND ITS ULTIMATE TRACK WILL
DETERMINE WHETHER THESE VALUES WILL NEED TO BE MODIFIED WITH
SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS.
...WINDS...
AS FAY APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER
TONIGHT MAINLY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTS. WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT AND
CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE STORM IS FORECAST TO EMERGE OVER
THE ATLANTIC ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND APPROACH THE COAST ONCE
AGAIN ON THURSDAY WITH SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE.
THE HIGHEST WINDS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 70 PERCENT
OVER THE AREA WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF A STRONG TROPICAL STORM IS 20
TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 5 TO 10
PERCENT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. SHOULD THE STORM MAINTAIN THE
FORECAST TRACK AND EXPECTED INTENSITY...THESE PROBABILITIES WOULD
INCREASE WITH TIME.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD POTENTIALLY REACH 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS THROUGH FRIDAY AS THE STORM SLOWS OFFSHORE
AND THEN APPROACHES THE COAST ONCE AGAIN. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN CAN
PRODUCE FLOODING OF ROADS...ESPECIALLY THOSE WITH POOR DRAINAGE.
KNOWN INTERSECTIONS WITH VERY POOR DRAINAGE MAY HAVE WATER LEVELS
UP TO 3 FEET. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL HAVE WATER RISES OF 1
FOOT. IF APPROACHING A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA BEGINNING
THIS EVENING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1130 PM EDT ON TUESDAY.
$$
AMZ450-470-200330-
/O.CAN.KJAX.HU.S.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KJAX.HU.A.0001.080819T2208Z-000000T0000Z/
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
608 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OFF THE COAST OF EAST-
CENTRAL FLORIDA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOME A HURRICANE OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS. THIS HAS RESULTED IN THE POSTING OF HURRICANE
WATCHES FOR THE COASTAL WATERS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE COASTAL ZONES OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TODAY AND OTHERWISE
NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS...ONSHORE WINDS
COULD RESULT IN TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WEDNESDAY AND
3 TO 5 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.THE AMOUNT OF TIME THE
STORM HAS TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE OPEN OCEAN AND ITS ULTIMATE TRACK WILL
DETERMINE WHETHER THESE VALUES WILL NEED TO BE MODIFIED WITH
SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS.
...WINDS...
AS FAY APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD
AND EXTENDING INTO WEDNESDAY. THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
AS A HURRICANE IF FORECAST TO DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
HURRICANE CONDITIONS CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 70 PERCENT
OVER THE AREA WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF A STRONG TROPICAL STORM IS 20
TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 10 TO 20
PERCENT. SHOULD THE STORM MAINTAIN THE FORECAST TRACK AND
EXPECTED INTENSITY...THESE PROBABILITIES WOULD INCREASE WITH TIME.
...TORNADOES...
THE COASTAL WATERS WILL BE LOCATED IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF
FAY. HISTORICALLY...THIS QUADRANT IS THE FAVORED AREA FOR
TORNADOES AND TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN OUTER RAIN
BANDS. THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1130 PM EDT ON TUESDAY.
$$
GAZ153-165-200330-
/O.CAN.KJAX.HU.S.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KJAX.HI.A.0001.080819T2208Z-080822T1000Z/
INLAND GLYNN-INLAND CAMDEN-
608 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OFF THE COAST OF EAST-
CENTRAL FLORIDA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOME A HURRICANE OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS. THIS HAS RESULTED IN THE POSTING OF HURRICANE
WATCHES FOR THE COAST AND HURRICANE WINDS WATCHES FOR INLAND
PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AN HURRICANE WIND WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN A LANDFALLING HURRICANE IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WELL INLAND DURING THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. PREPARE FOR SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS...ONSHORE WINDS
COULD RESULT IN TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WEDNESDAY AND
3 TO 5 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.THE AMOUNT OF TIME THE
STORM HAS TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE OPEN OCEAN AND ITS ULTIMATE TRACK WILL
DETERMINE WHETHER THESE VALUES WILL NEED TO BE MODIFIED WITH
SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS.
...WINDS...
AS FAY APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER
TONIGHT MAINLY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTS. WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE
TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE STORM IS FORECAST TO EMERGE
OVER THE ATLANTIC ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND APPROACH THE COAST ONCE AGAIN
ON THURSDAY WITH SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE. THE
HIGHEST WINDS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 70 PERCENT
OVER THE AREA WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF A STRONG TROPICAL STORM IS 20
TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 5 TO 10
PERCENT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. SHOULD THE STORM MAINTAIN THE
FORECAST TRACK AND EXPECTED INTENSITY...THESE PROBABILITIES WOULD
INCREASE WITH TIME.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD POTENTIALLY REACH 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS THROUGH FRIDAY AS THE STORM SLOWS OFFSHORE
AND THEN APPROACHES THE COAST ONCE AGAIN. IF THE STORM MOVES VERY
SLOWLY ACROSS THE AREA RAINFALL AMOUNTS CAN BE MUCH HIGHER. THIS
AMOUNT OF RAIN CAN PRODUCE FLOODING OF ROADS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
WITH POOR DRAINAGE. KNOWN INTERSECTIONS WITH VERY POOR DRAINAGE
MAY HAVE WATER LEVELS UP TO 3 FEET. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL
HAVE WATER RISES OF 1 FOOT. IF APPROACHING A FLOODED
ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA BEGINNING
THIS EVENING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1130 PM EDT ON TUESDAY.
$$
GAZ132>136-149>152-162>164-200330-
/O.CAN.KJAX.HU.S.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KJAX.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080822T1000Z/
COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-
BRANTLEY-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-
608 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OFF THE COAST OF EAST-
CENTRAL FLORIDA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOME A HURRICANE OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS. THIS HAS RESULTED IN THE POSTING OF A TROPICAL
STORM WIND WATCH FOR INLAND AREAS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE
POTENTIAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...AND HEAVY RAINFALL
WHICH MAY CAUSE FLOODING.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FAY IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OFF TH COAST ON WEDNESDAY
AND DEVELOP INTO A HURRICANE BEFORE MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD THE
COAST. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO INCREASE ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS ON
THURSDAY WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS DEVELOPING IS 30 TO
50 PERCENT. THE CHANCE FOR STRONG TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS 10
TO 20 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD POTENTIALLY REACH 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS THROUGH FRIDAY AS THE STORM SLOWS OFFSHORE
AND THEN APPROACHES THE COAST ONCE AGAIN. IF THE STORM MOVES VERY
SLOWLY ACROSS THE AREA RAINFALL AMOUNTS CAN BE MUCH HIGHER. THIS
AMOUNT OF RAIN CAN PRODUCE FLOODING OF ROADS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
WITH POOR DRAINAGE. KNOWN INTERSECTIONS WITH VERY POOR DRAINAGE
MAY HAVE WATER LEVELS UP TO 3 FEET. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL
HAVE WATER RISES OF 1 FOOT. IF APPROACHING A FLOODED
ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY AND
INTO THURSDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1130 PM EDT ON TUESDAY.
$$
AMZ454-200330-
/O.UPG.KJAX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KJAX.HU.A.0001.080819T2208Z-000000T0000Z/
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
608 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OFF THE COAST OF EAST-
CENTRAL FLORIDA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOME A HURRICANE OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS. THIS HAS RESULTED IN THE POSTING OF HURRICANE
WATCHES FOR THE COASTAL WATERS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE COASTAL ZONES OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TODAY AND OTHERWISE
NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS...ONSHORE WINDS
COULD RESULT IN TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WEDNESDAY AND
3 TO 5 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.THE AMOUNT OF TIME THE
STORM HAS TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE OPEN OCEAN WILL DETERMINE WHETHER
THESE VALUES WILL NEED TO BE MODIFIED WITH SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS.
...WINDS...
AS FAY APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD
AND EXTENDING INTO WEDNESDAY. THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
AS A HURRICANE IF FORECAST TO DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
HURRICANE CONDITIONS CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 70 PERCENT
OVER THE AREA WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF A STRONG TROPICAL STORM IS 20
TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 10 TO 20
PERCENT. SHOULD THE STORM MAINTAIN THE FORECAST TRACK AND
EXPECTED INTENSITY...THESE PROBABILITIES WOULD INCREASE WITH TIME.
...TORNADOES...
THE COASTAL WATERS WILL BE LOCATED IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF
FAY. HISTORICALLY...THIS QUADRANT IS THE FAVORED AREA FOR
TORNADOES AND TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN OUTER RAIN
BANDS. THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1130 PM EDT ON TUESDAY.
$$
AMZ452-472-474-200330-
/O.UPG.KJAX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KJAX.HU.A.0001.080819T2208Z-000000T0000Z/
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
608 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OFF THE COAST OF EAST-
CENTRAL FLORIDA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOME A HURRICANE OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS. THIS HAS RESULTED IN THE POSTING OF HURRICANE
WATCHES FOR THE COASTAL WATERS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE COASTAL ZONES OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TODAY AND OTHERWISE
NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT.
...WINDS...
AS FAY APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD
AND EXTENDING INTO WEDNESDAY. THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
AS A HURRICANE IF FORECAST TO DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
HURRICANE CONDITIONS CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 70 PERCENT
OVER THE AREA WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF A STRONG TROPICAL STORM IS 20
TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 10 TO 20
PERCENT. SHOULD THE STORM MAINTAIN THE FORECAST TRACK AND
EXPECTED INTENSITY...THESE PROBABILITIES WOULD INCREASE WITH TIME.
...TORNADOES...
THE COASTAL WATERS WILL BE LOCATED IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF
FAY. HISTORICALLY...THIS QUADRANT IS THE FAVORED AREA FOR
TORNADOES AND TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN OUTER RAIN
BANDS. THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1130 PM EDT ON TUESDAY.
$$
FLZ037-200330-
/O.EXT.KJAX.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080822T1000Z/
PUTNAM-
608 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OFF THE COAST OF EAST-
CENTRAL FLORIDA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOME A HURRICANE OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS. THIS HAS RESULTED IN THE POSTING OF A TROPICAL
STORM WIND WATCH FOR INLAND AREAS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
NORTHEAST FLORIDA.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE
POTENTIAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...AND HEAVY RAINFALL
WHICH MAY CAUSE FLOODING.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FAY IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OFF TH COAST ON WEDNESDAY
AND DEVELOP INTO A HURRICANE BEFORE MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD THE
COAST. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO INCREASE ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS ON
THURSDAY WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS DEVELOPING IS 40 TO
60 PERCENT. THE CHANCE FOR STRONG TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS 10
TO 20 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 5 TO 10
PERCENT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. SHOULD THE STORM MAINTAIN THE
FORECAST TRACK AND EXPECTED INTENSITY...THESE PROBABILITIES WOULD
INCREASE WITH TIME.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD POTENTIALLY REACH 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS THROUGH FRIDAY AS THE STORM SLOWS OFFSHORE
AND THEN APPROACHES THE COAST ONCE AGAIN. IF THE STORM MOVES VERY
SLOWLY ACROSS THE AREA RAINFALL AMOUNTS CAN BE MUCH HIGHER. THIS
AMOUNT OF RAIN CAN PRODUCE FLOODING OF ROADS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
WITH POOR DRAINAGE. KNOWN INTERSECTIONS WITH VERY POOR DRAINAGE
MAY HAVE WATER LEVELS UP TO 3 FEET. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL
HAVE WATER RISES OF 1 FOOT. IF APPROACHING A FLOODED
ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY AND
INTO THURSDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1130 PM EDT ON TUESDAY.
$$
FLZ020>023-030>032-035-036-040-200330-
/O.EXT.KJAX.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080822T1000Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-GILCHRIST-
ALACHUA-MARION-
608 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OFF THE COAST OF EAST-
CENTRAL FLORIDA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOME A HURRICANE OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS. THIS HAS RESULTED IN THE POSTING OF A TROPICAL
STORM WIND WATCH FOR INLAND AREAS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
NORTHEAST FLORIDA.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE
POTENTIAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...AND HEAVY RAINFALL
WHICH MAY CAUSE FLOODING.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FAY IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OFF TH COAST ON WEDNESDAY
AND DEVELOP INTO A HURRICANE BEFORE MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD THE
COAST. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO INCREASE ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS ON
THURSDAY WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS DEVELOPING IS 40 TO
60 PERCENT. THE CHANCE FOR STRONG TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS 10
TO 20 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 5 TO 10
PERCENT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. SHOULD THE STORM MAINTAIN THE
FORECAST TRACK AND EXPECTED INTENSITY...THESE PROBABILITIES WOULD
INCREASE WITH TIME.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD POTENTIALLY REACH 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS THROUGH FRIDAY AS THE STORM SLOWS OFFSHORE
AND THEN APPROACHES THE COAST ONCE AGAIN. IF THE STORM MOVES VERY
SLOWLY ACROSS THE AREA RAINFALL AMOUNTS CAN BE MUCH HIGHER. THIS
AMOUNT OF RAIN CAN PRODUCE FLOODING OF ROADS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
WITH POOR DRAINAGE. KNOWN INTERSECTIONS WITH VERY POOR DRAINAGE
MAY HAVE WATER LEVELS UP TO 3 FEET. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL
HAVE WATER RISES OF 1 FOOT. IF APPROACHING A FLOODED
ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY AND
INTO THURSDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1130 PM EDT ON TUESDAY.
$$
DEESE/SANDRIK
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