[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Tue Aug 19 04:39:45 CDT 2008

WTUS82 KMLB 190939 PAA
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
539 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...TROPICAL STORM FAY MAKING LANDFALL AT CAPE ROMANO...
...RAIN SPREADING INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA WITH HEAVY RAINBANDS AND
SQUALLS LIFTING NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE..

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS WITHIN EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL INLAND
COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COASTAL COUNTIES
OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...AS WELL AS THE COASTAL WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COUNTIES.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...
OKEECHOBEE...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...AND BREVARD COUNTIES UNTIL 8
AM. THIS INCLUDES THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 500 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST. THIS POSITION IS NEAR
CAPE ROMANO ON THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST AND 175 MILES SOUTH OF ORLANDO.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK THE
CENTER WILL MOVE INLAND ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA LATER TODAY AND
APPROACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF DAYTONA BEACH LATE TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL
WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS FAY MOVES INLAND ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-191545-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
539 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HIGH WIND GUSTS AND A MODERATE THREAT FOR TORNADOES AND FLOODING
TODAY AS RAINBANDS SPREAD NORTH...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A LARGE AREA OF RAIN AND WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL SPREAD
NORTH IN ADVANCE OF FAY...ENCOMPASSING MOST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA BY
MID TO LATE MORNING. BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND SQUALLS GUSTING BETWEEN
30 AND 50 MPH WILL LIFT NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE THEN SPIRAL
NORTHWEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PENINSULA LATER THIS MORNING AND
CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...WITH 2 TO 3 INCH
PER HOUR TOTALS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL FLORIDA...MAINLY
ALONG AND EAST OF THE TRACK OF FAY. BRIEF TORNADO SIGNATURES HAVE
BEEN OBSERVED ON RADAR WITHIN PALM BEACH AND MARTIN COUNTIES EARLY
THIS MORNING AND FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR TORNADO TOUCHDOWNS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE AFTERNOON.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN
RIVER...BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS SHOULD NOW BE COMPLETE FOR THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS. LISTEN FOR UPDATED WEATHER BULLETINS THROUGHOUT THE
DAY...AND BE PREPARED TO ACT IMMEDIATELY IF TORNADO OR FLOOD
WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

...WINDS...
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING WITH GUSTS IN
SQUALLS REACHING 40 TO 45 MPH SOUTH OF ORLANDO AND COCOA BEACH...AND
LOCATIONS FARTHER NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON. PEAK GUSTS OF 50 TO 55
MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN HEAVY SQUALLS...ESPECIALLY AS SQUALLS
SPREAD ONSHORE FROM THE ATLANTIC...AND ALSO LATER TODAY FARTHER
INLAND NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR OVER
ABOUT A 12 HOUR PERIOD AT MOST LOCATIONS. WIND CONDITIONS NORTH AND
WEST OF ORLANDO MAY NOT BE QUITE AS STRONG...AS FAY IS NOW FORECAST
TO PASS JUST EAST OF THIS REGION. THE CENTER TRACK OF FAY IS
FORECAST TO REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF DAYTONA BEACH LATE
TONIGHT AS A WEAK TROPICAL STORM.

RECENT SQUALLS PRODUCED WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH AT PORT ST.
LUCIE...AND 38 MPH AT THE ST. LUCIE NUCLEAR POWER PLANT ON
HUTCHINSON ISLAND. MANY LOCATIONS SOUTH AND WEST OF VERO BEACH WERE
REPORTING WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH AT 5 AM.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
A VERY LOW THREAT FOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL EXIST NEAR THE COAST AND
ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS...WITH STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE WATERS
EXPECTED TO REACH LEVELS OF 1 TO 2 FEET. IN ADDITION...MINOR TO
MODERATE BEACH EROSION AND HEAVY SURF ARE LIKELY.

IMPACTS WILL BE GREATEST DURING TIMES OF PEAK ONSHORE WINDS
COINCIDENT WITH TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. THE NEXT HIGH TIDE ALONG THE
COAST FROM JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH WILL BE BETWEEN 1030 AND
1130 AM.

FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...WINDS HAVE BEEN 25 TO 30 KNOTS RANGE GUSTING
TO 35 KNOTS SINCE 2 AM. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE...BECOMING
30 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...AND POSSIBLY AROUND 50 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS CLOSE TO HURRICANE FORCE IN THE EARLY DAYLIGHT HOURS.
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND
INTO THE EVENING. SINCE FAY IS EXPECTED TO PASS WEST OF THE LAKE...
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS WILL BE BLOWING LAKE WATERS FROM THE SOUTH
SHORE TOWARD THE NORTH SHORE...RESULTING IN HIGHER THAN NORMAL LAKE
LEVELS FROM CANAL POINT NORTH TO THE TOWN OF OKEECHOBEE AND WEST TO
LAKEPORT...WHILE BELOW NORMAL LAKE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
BELLE GLADE...SOUTH BAY AND CLEWISTON AREAS. IF FAY PASSES DIRECTLY
OVER OR EAST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE...THE WATER LEVELS IN THE LAKE WILL
FLUCTUATE DRAMATICALLY DEPENDING ON THE DIRECTION AND SPEED OF THE
WIND.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COUNTIES.
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL INCREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS RAIN
BANDS CONTAINING TORRENTIAL TROPICAL DOWNPOURS SPREAD NORTH...WITH
MULTIPLE BANDS MOVING REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS. RAINFALL OF 2
TO 3 INCHES IN AN HOUR OR LESS WILL BE COMMON WITH THE HEAVIEST
SQUALLS. HIGHER RAINFALL RATES OF 3 TO 4 INCHES IN AN HOUR WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS...WHICH WILL QUICKLY LEAD TO FLOODING OF
ROADWAYS AND MAY ALLOW WATER TO APPROACH HOMES IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS.
THE GREATEST RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY ALONG AND EAST OF THE
TRACK OF FAY...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF ORLANDO.

AT THIS TIME...NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED ON THE SAINT
JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND LAKE GEORGE.

...TORNADOES...
ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE IN THE PREFERRED AREA FOR
TORNADIC STORMS TODAY. AS LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR INCREASES AND SPREADS
NORTH...CONDITIONS WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING STORMS. THE
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADIC CELLS WILL BE ENHANCED NEAR THE COAST.

SEVERAL TORNADO SIGNATURES HAVE BEEN INDICATED BY RADAR ACROSS PALM
BEACH AND MARTIN COUNTIES ALREADY THIS MORNING...HOWEVER NO
TOUCHDOWNS HAVE BEEN REPORTED.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE... INDIAN
RIVER...AND BREVARD COUNTIES UNTIL 8 AM EDT. A NEW TORNADO WATCH
WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING FOR A LARGE PORTION OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 9 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-191545-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
539 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HIGH WIND GUSTS AND A THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS TODAY AS
RAINBANDS SPREAD NORTH...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A LARGE AREA OF RAIN AND WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS WILL SPREAD
NORTH IN ADVANCE OF FAY...ENCOMPASSING MOST OF THE COASTAL WATERS
BY MID TO LATE MORNING. BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND SQUALLS GUSTING
BETWEEN 30 AND 45 KNOTS WILL LIFT NORTH FROM THE WATERS EAST OF
LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. BRIEF WATERSPOUT
SIGNATURES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ON RADAR OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF
STUART EARLY THIS MORNING AND FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR ADDITIONAL
WATERSPOUTS WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE AFTERNOON.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY MARINERS IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL WATER AREAS...FROM JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER
BEACH AND OUT 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SMALL CRAFT ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN IN PORT DUE TO TROPICAL STORM
WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS.

...WINDS...
WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING WITH GUSTS IN SQUALLS
REACHING 40 TO 45 KNOTS SOUTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL...AND LOCATIONS FARTHER
NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR OVER
ABOUT A 12 HOUR PERIOD. THE CENTER TRACK OF FAY IS FORECAST TO
REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF DAYTONA BEACH LATE TONIGHT AS A
WEAK TROPICAL STORM.

...TORNADOES...
ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WILL BE IN THE PREFERRED
AREA FOR TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS TODAY. AS LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR
STRENGTHENS AND SPREADS NORTH...CONDITIONS WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING STORMS. SEVERAL WATERSPOUT
SIGNATURES HAVE BEEN INDICATED BY RADAR ACROSS THE PALM BEACH
COASTAL WATERS ALREADY THIS MORNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 9 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$

FLZ041-044>046-053-058-144-191545-
/O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-OKEECHOBEE-
SOUTHERN LAKE-
539 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH WIND GUSTS AND A MODERATE THREAT FOR TORNADOES AND FLOODING
TODAY AS RAINBANDS SPREAD NORTH...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A LARGE AREA OF RAIN AND WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL SPREAD
NORTH IN ADVANCE OF FAY...ENCOMPASSING MOST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA BY
MID TO LATE MORNING. BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND SQUALLS GUSTING BETWEEN
30 AND 50 MPH WILL LIFT NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE THEN SPIRAL
NORTHWEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PENINSULA LATER THIS MORNING AND
CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...WITH 2 TO 3 INCH
PER HOUR TOTALS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL FLORIDA...MAINLY
ALONG AND EAST OF THE TRACK OF FAY. BRIEF TORNADO SIGNATURES HAVE
BEEN OBSERVED ON RADAR WITHIN PALM BEACH AND MARTIN COUNTIES EARLY
THIS MORNING AND FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR TORNADO TOUCHDOWNS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE AFTERNOON.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...OKEECHOBEE...
OSCEOLA...ORANGE...LAKE...SEMINOLE AND WESTERN VOLUSIA.