[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTBW 181902
HLSTBW

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
302 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST INTO THE FLORIDA
STRAITS...

.AT 2 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
24.3 DEGREES NORTH...81.6 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH
OF FORT MYERS...AND ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA. FAY
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT WAS 1002 MB...OR 29.59 INCHES. FAY IS FORECAST TO MAKE
LANDFALL IN SOUTHWEST OR WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA ON TUESDAY AS A
CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE.

FLZ056-057-182200-
/O.EXT.KTBW.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0500Z/
HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK
302 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. A FLOOD WATCH IS NOW
IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR THE
ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEFORE IT GETS DARK THIS EVENING.
DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALREADY BE OCCURRING BY FIRST LIGHT ON
TUESDAY. MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH
TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 70 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO
THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ055-060>062-065-GMZ853-856-873-876-182200-
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE...
ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
302 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE
COUNTY TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH IS
NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR THE
ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEFORE IT GETS DARK THIS EVENING.
DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALREADY BE OCCURRING BY FIRST LIGHT ON
TUESDAY.
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM
FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS
3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS INCLUDING
THE UPPER PORTIONS OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR AROUND MID DAY TUESDAY.
FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST A SURGE
OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE IF FAY STAYS OFFSHORE TUESDAY EVENING
AND NIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE
VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS.

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 60 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 50 TO 70 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 8 TO 12 PERCENT
CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...
WILL AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE
AREA.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO THREAT
FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ052-182200-
/O.EXT.KTBW.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0500Z/
POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN
302 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POLK COUNTY. A FLOOD
WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM
FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 65 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT
THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 55 TO 65 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 4 TO 8 PERCENT CHANCE THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT
THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO
THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ050-051-GMZ830-182200-
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON...
TAMPA
302 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ANNA MARIA IN
MANATEE COUNTY TO TARPON SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY. A FLOOD
WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM
FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

A SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE IF FAY STAYS OFFSHORE TUESDAY
EVENING AND NIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO
THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS.

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 65 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT
THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 45 TO 60 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 7 TO 9 PERCENT
CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR
HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WEST OF THE TRACK OF FAY AND 4
TO 8 INCHES ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE TRACK ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THE AREA.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO THREAT
FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ039-042-043-048-049-GMZ850-870-182200-
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER...
INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...
NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS
302 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY.
LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IF FAY REMAINS OFFSHORE OF THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM
EXPECTED STORM SURGE WOULD BE POSSIBLY 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE
COAST FROM PASCO TO LEVY COUNTY DURING WEDNESDAY MORNING.
ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO
DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS.

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 55 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS COULD AFFECT
THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 35 TO 55 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL
AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE
ISSUED FOR THIS AREA TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE TORNADO THREAT FOR
THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT.

$$

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