[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KJAX 181606
HLSJAX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1206 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE INLAND
COUNTIES OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

...CENTER OF FAY NOW OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS...HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF COCOA BEACH TO FERNANDINA
BEACH.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70
MILES...115 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 65
MILES...100 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR.  A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH A GENERALLY NORTHWARD MOTION EXPECTED ON
TUESDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY SHOULD BE NEAR
THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT...AND NEAR THE SOUTHWEST
COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND FAY IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE
SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA COAST ON TUESDAY.

FLZ024-025-033-038-182215-
/O.NEW.KJAX.TI.A.0001.080818T1606Z-080821T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KJAX.TR.A.1006.080818T1606Z-000000T0000Z/
NASSAU-DUVAL-ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-
1206 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA
FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO FLAGLER BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WIND
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR INLAND COUNTIES OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN
NASSAU...DUVAL...ST JOHNS AND FLAGLER COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST
FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA
FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO FLAGLER BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WIND
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR INLAND COUNTIES OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE TROPICAL
STORM STRENGTH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

ONSHORE WINDS COULD RESULT IN TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
ALONG THE COAST... ESPECIALLY IF THE STORM TRACK SHIFTS FURTHER TO
THE EAST.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE
POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO
WEDNESDAY.


...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR JACKSONVILLE...

THERE IS A 45 PERCENT CHANCE OF WINDS 34 KT /39 MPH/ OR GREATER...
MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN BETWEEN 8 AM AND 8 AM WED.

THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF WINDS 64 KT /74 MPH/ OR GREATER...
MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN BETWEEN 8 AM AND 8 AM THU.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RESIDENTS CAN EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF ROADS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
WITH POOR DRAINAGE. KNOWN INTERSECTIONS WITH VERY POOR DRAINAGE
MAY HAVE WATER LEVELS UP TO 3 FEET. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL
HAVE WATER RISES OF 1 FOOT.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA
BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON.


...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 600 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ020>023-030>032-035>037-040-182215-
/O.NEW.KJAX.TI.A.0001.080818T1606Z-080821T2100Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-GILCHRIST-
ALACHUA-PUTNAM-MARION-
1206 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR INLAND COUNTIES
OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN
HAMILTON...SUWANNEE...COLUMBIA...BAKER...UNION...BRADFORD...CLAY...GILCHRIST...ALACHUA...PUTNAM
AND MARION COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



...WINDS...
THE POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS WILL EXIST BEGINNING TUESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUING
INTO WEDNESDAY.


...INLAND FLOODING...
RESIDENTS CAN EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF ROADS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
WITH POOR DRAINAGE. KNOWN INTERSECTIONS WITH VERY POOR DRAINAGE
MAY HAVE WATER LEVELS UP TO 3 FEET. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL
HAVE WATER RISES OF 1 FOOT.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 6 PM.

$$

AMZ452-454-472-474-182215-
/O.NEW.KJAX.TR.A.0001.080818T1606Z-000000T0000Z/
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
1206 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COASTAL WATERS
OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA..

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN
COASTAL NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TODAY AND OTHERWISE
NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

GIVEN THAT FAY WILL APPROACH THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE INLAND
DIRECTION...LITTLE IMPACT FROM STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IS
EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...IF FAY
STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE OR SHIFTS MORE EASTWARD...THEN THERE MAY
BE A VERY LOW THREAT DURING THE PERIODS OF HIGH TIDE AND ONSHORE
WINDS. SUBTLE CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST WOULD PROMPT HEIGHTS
OF 2 FEET OR LESS. EITHER WAY...SURF CONDITIONS MAY BECOME ROUGH
WITH SOME BEACH EROSION TAKING PLACE. RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO BE A
PROBLEM.

...WINDS...

AS THE CIRCULATION OF FAY APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT...POSSIBLY REACHING TROPICAL STORM
FORCE...AT LEAST IN GUSTS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...TORNADOES...

MUCH OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA WILL BE LOCATED IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF
FAY. HISTORICALLY...THIS QUADRANT IS THE FAVORED AREA FOR
TORNADOES AND TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN OUTER
RAIN BANDS. THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON
AS OUTER RAIN BANDS APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THE HIGHEST THREAT
MAY OCCUR TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 6 PM.

$$

WOLF/LETRO


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