[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTBW 181601
HLSTBW

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1201 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST INTO THE FLORIDA
STRAITS...

.AT 11 AM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.6
DEGREES NORTH...81.5 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF FORT
MYERS...AND ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA. FAY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
WAS 1003 MB...OR 29.62 INCHES. FAY IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN
SOUTHWEST OR WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA ON TUESDAY AS A CATEGORY ONE
HURRICANE.

FLZ055-060>062-065-GMZ853-856-873-876-182300-
/O.UPG.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTBW.HU.W.1006.080818T1601Z-000000T0000Z/
MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE...
ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
1201 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

AT 11 AM EDT...THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A
HURRICANE WARNING.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE
COUNTY TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR THE
ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEFORE IT GETS DARK THIS EVENING.
DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALREADY BE OCCURRING BY FIRST LIGHT ON TUESDAY.
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM
FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS
3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS INCLUDING
THE UPPER PORTIONS OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR AROUND MID DAY TUESDAY.
FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST A SURGE
OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE IF FAY STAYS OFFSHORE TUESDAY EVENING
AND NIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE
VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS.

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 60 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 50 TO 70 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 8 TO 12 PERCENT
CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...
WILL AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY
NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TODAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO THREAT FOR
THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ056-057-182300-
/O.UPG.KTBW.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTBW.HI.W.0001.080818T1601Z-080820T0000Z/
HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK
1201 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

AT 11 AM EDT...THE HURRICANE WIND WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A
HURRICANE WIND WARNING.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR HARDEE AND
HIGHLANDS COUNTIES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR THE
ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEFORE IT GETS DARK THIS EVENING.
DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALREADY BE OCCURRING BY FIRST LIGHT ON TUESDAY.
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM
FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 70 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE
ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LATER TODAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO
THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ050-051-GMZ830-182300-
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON...
TAMPA
1201 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ANNA MARIA IN
MANATEE COUNTY TO TARPON SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM
FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

A SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE IF FAY STAYS OFFSHORE TUESDAY
EVENING AND NIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE
SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS.

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 65 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT THE
WATCH AREA TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 45 TO 60 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 7 TO 9 PERCENT
CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR
HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD
WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA LATER TODAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO THREAT
FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ052-182300-
/O.CON.KTBW.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0000Z/
POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN
1201 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POLK COUNTY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM
FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 65 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT
THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 55 TO 65 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 4 TO 8 PERCENT CHANCE THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT
THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE
ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LATER TODAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO
THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ039-042-043-048-049-GMZ850-870-182300-
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER...
INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...
NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS
1201 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY.
LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IF FAY REMAINS OFFSHORE OF THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM
EXPECTED STORM SURGE WOULD BE POSSIBLY 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE
COAST FROM PASCO TO LEVY COUNTY DURING WEDNESDAY MORNING.
ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO
DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS.

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 55 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS COULD AFFECT
THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 35 TO 55 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL
AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY
NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LATER
TODAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE TORNADO THREAT FOR
THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT.

$$



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