[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTBW 180400
HLSTBW

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1200 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM FAY CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWEST JUST SOUTH OF
CUBA...

.AT 11 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 DEGREES
NORTH...80.6 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF FORT
MYERS...AND ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA. FAY IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED
ON MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1001 MB...OR
29.56 INCHES. FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL
FLORIDA TUESDAY AND COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL.

FLZ050-051-055-060>062-065-GMZ830-853-856-873-876-181200-
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON...
TAMPA...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE...ARCADIA...
PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
1200 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY
TO TARPON SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM
FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS
3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS INCLUDING
THE UPPER PORTIONS OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR DURING LATE TUESDAY MORNING
AND AFTERNOON. FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...
SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY...A SURGE
OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS EXPECTED DURING LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE
VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS.

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 60 TO 80 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT
THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 40 TO 60 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING LATE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 10 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL
AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD
WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
ON MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO
THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 AM EDT.

$$

FLZ052-056-057-181200-
/O.CON.KTBW.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0000Z/
POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...WAUCHULA...
SEBRING...AVON PARK
1200 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POLK...HARDEE AND
HIGHLANDS COUNTIES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM
FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT
THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BASED ON THE
LATEST FORECAST TRACK IT IS MORE LIKELY THAT WINDS WILL BE MAINLY
BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 35 TO 55 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING LATE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 3 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL
AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD
WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
ON MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO
THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 AM EDT.

$$

FLZ039-042-043-048-049-GMZ850-870-181200-
/O.NEW.KTBW.HU.S.0001.080818T0400Z-000000T0000Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER...
INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...
NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS
1200 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

ALTHOUGH WATCHES HAVE NOT BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AREA...RESIDENTS
AND MARINERS SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF ANY NEARING HAZARDS ASSOCIATED
WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY.
LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS
3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE COAST FROM PASCO TO LEVY COUNTY DURING
WEDNESDAY MORNING. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO
THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS.

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 60 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT
THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 30 TO 50 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING LATE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 3 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL
AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD
WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
ON MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING THE TORNADO
THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 AM EDT.

$$


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