[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 17 22:55:59 CDT 2008
WTUS82 KKEY 180355
HLSKEY
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1155 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS...
.AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR ABOUT 235 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 1 TO 2 DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...FAY IS EXPECTED TO CROSS WESTERN CUBA EARLY ON MONDAY AND
MOVE NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS MONDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER CROSSES CUBA...AND FAY
COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT NEARS THE FLORIDA
KEYS MONDAY NIGHT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB OR 29.56 INCHES.
GMZ031>033-052-072-180700-
/O.EXA.KKEY.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
1155 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE UPPER KEYS.
STORM INFORMATION UPDATED FOR THE 11 PM ADVISORY.
RAINFALL INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCREASE MAXIMUM EXPECTED AMOUNTS.
WIND INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCORPORATE THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK.
MARINE IMPACTS UPDATED TO INCORPORATE THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK.
STORM SURGE INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCORPORATE THE LATEST FORECAST
TRACK.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE UPPER
KEYS...AND IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS. A HURRICANE
WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY...EXCEPT
ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON MONDAY. THE FOLLOWING KEYS
SHELTERS ARE NOW OPEN...KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL AT 2100 FLAGLER
AVENUE...SUGARLOAF ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 19...STANLEY
SWITLIK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT 3400 OVERSEAS HIGHWAY IN MARATHON...
AND CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 89 ON PLANTATION KEY.
MOBILE HOME RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-
ABOARDS SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT PLANS TO CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
HOWEVER ALMOST ALL SEATS ON MONDAY MORNING FLIGHTS ARE FULL. THERE
ARE NO RENTAL CARS REMAINING IN KEY WEST. GREYHOUND HAS SEATS
AVAILABLE ON A BUS SCHEDULED TO LEAVE KEY WEST MONDAY MORNING AT 855
AM. TOLLS ON CARD SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN SUSPENDED. HIGH-PROFILE
VEHICLES...SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...SHOULD BE OUT
OF THE FLORIDA KEYS PRIOR TO MIDDAY MONDAY. THE SNAKE CREEK
DRAWBRIDGE...IN ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN TO MARINE VESSELS...UPON
THE ARRIVAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. THE PORT OF KEY WEST IS
NOW CLOSED. ALL MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. WASTE MANAGEMENT IS PLANNING REGULAR TRASH PICKUP IN KEY
WEST ON MONDAY MORNING...BUT SERVICE WILL BE SUSPENDED WHEN SUSTAINED
WINDS REACH 35 MPH. RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO SECURE TRASH BINS AS
QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE AFTER THE MONDAY MORNING PICKUP. THE MONROE
COUNTY EMERGENCY INFORMATION PHONE LINE IS OPERATIONAL AT
800-955-5504...AND THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER RUMOR
CONTROL HOTLINE IS ALSO OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY FROM MONDAY
EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...THE STORM
SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...
AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM MONDAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY
IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM MONDAY...10:53 PM MONDAY...11:05 AM TUESDAY
IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM MONDAY...10:57 PM MONDAY...11:21 AM TUESDAY
NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM MONDAY...11:03 PM MONDAY...11:27 AM TUESDAY
...WINDS...
EAST WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH LOCALLY
STRONGER AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN RAIN BANDS.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO IMPACT THE LOWER
KEYS BEGINNING MONDAY AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS MAY SPREAD INTO THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS MONDAY EVENING. AT THIS TIME... THE STRONGEST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...TO THE WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 75 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 62 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 46 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 3 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.
...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP
TO 10 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE
PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD PONDING
OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. THE
HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND MONDAY NIGHT...CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.
...MARINE IMPACTS...
WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FORECAST TO IMPACT THE KEYS COASTAL
WATERS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...MARINERS SHOULD
FINISH PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES TO PROTECT THEMSELVES AND THEIR
VESSELS. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA
STRAITS OVERNIGHT...LIKELY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OF 20
TO 25 KNOTS LATE. IN ADDITION...LINES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 300 AM MONDAY
MORNING...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
$$
FLZ076-180700-
/O.EXA.KKEY.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-
1155 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE UPPER KEYS.
STORM INFORMATION UPDATED FOR THE 11 PM ADVISORY.
RAINFALL INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCREASE MAXIMUM EXPECTED AMOUNTS.
WIND INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCORPORATE THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK.
MARINE IMPACTS UPDATED TO INCORPORATE THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK.
STORM SURGE INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCORPORATE THE LATEST FORECAST
TRACK.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE UPPER
KEYS...AND IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS. A HURRICANE
WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY...EXCEPT
ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON MONDAY. THE FOLLOWING KEYS
SHELTERS ARE NOW OPEN...KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL AT 2100 FLAGLER
AVENUE...SUGARLOAF ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 19...STANLEY
SWITLIK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT 3400 OVERSEAS HIGHWAY IN MARATHON...
AND CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 89 ON PLANTATION KEY.
MOBILE HOME RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-
ABOARDS SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT PLANS TO CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
HOWEVER ALMOST ALL SEATS ON MONDAY MORNING FLIGHTS ARE FULL. THERE
ARE NO RENTAL CARS REMAINING IN KEY WEST. GREYHOUND HAS SEATS
AVAILABLE ON A BUS SCHEDULED TO LEAVE KEY WEST MONDAY MORNING AT 855
AM. TOLLS ON CARD SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN SUSPENDED. HIGH-PROFILE
VEHICLES...SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...SHOULD BE OUT
OF THE FLORIDA KEYS PRIOR TO MIDDAY MONDAY. THE SNAKE CREEK
DRAWBRIDGE...IN ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN TO MARINE VESSELS...UPON
THE ARRIVAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. THE PORT OF KEY WEST IS
NOW CLOSED. ALL MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. WASTE MANAGEMENT IS PLANNING REGULAR TRASH PICKUP IN KEY
WEST ON MONDAY MORNING...BUT SERVICE WILL BE SUSPENDED WHEN SUSTAINED
WINDS REACH 35 MPH. RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO SECURE TRASH BINS AS
QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE AFTER THE MONDAY MORNING PICKUP. THE MONROE
COUNTY EMERGENCY INFORMATION PHONE LINE IS OPERATIONAL AT
800-955-5504...AND THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER RUMOR
CONTROL HOTLINE IS ALSO OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY FROM MONDAY
EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...THE STORM
SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...
AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM MONDAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY
IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM MONDAY...10:53 PM MONDAY...11:05 AM TUESDAY
IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM MONDAY...10:57 PM MONDAY...11:21 AM TUESDAY
NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM MONDAY...11:03 PM MONDAY...11:27 AM TUESDAY
...WINDS...
EAST WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH LOCALLY
STRONGER AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN RAIN BANDS.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO IMPACT THE LOWER
KEYS BEGINNING MONDAY AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS MAY SPREAD INTO THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS MONDAY EVENING. AT THIS TIME... THE STRONGEST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...TO THE WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 75 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 62 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 46 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 3 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.
...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP
TO 10 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE
PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD PONDING
OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. THE
HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND MONDAY NIGHT...CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.
...MARINE IMPACTS...
WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FORECAST TO IMPACT THE KEYS COASTAL
WATERS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...MARINERS SHOULD
FINISH PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES TO PROTECT THEMSELVES AND THEIR
VESSELS. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA
STRAITS OVERNIGHT...LIKELY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OF 20
TO 25 KNOTS LATE. IN ADDITION...LINES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 300 AM MONDAY
MORNING...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
$$
GMZ053-054-073>075-180700-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
1155 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE UPPER KEYS.
STORM INFORMATION UPDATED FOR THE 11 PM ADVISORY.
RAINFALL INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCREASE MAXIMUM EXPECTED AMOUNTS.
WIND INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCORPORATE THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK.
MARINE IMPACTS UPDATED TO INCORPORATE THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK.
STORM SURGE INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCORPORATE THE LATEST FORECAST
TRACK.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE UPPER
KEYS...AND IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS. A HURRICANE
WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY...EXCEPT
ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON MONDAY. THE FOLLOWING KEYS
SHELTERS ARE NOW OPEN...KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL AT 2100 FLAGLER
AVENUE...SUGARLOAF ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 19...STANLEY
SWITLIK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT 3400 OVERSEAS HIGHWAY IN MARATHON...
AND CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 89 ON PLANTATION KEY.
MOBILE HOME RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-
ABOARDS SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT PLANS TO CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
HOWEVER ALMOST ALL SEATS ON MONDAY MORNING FLIGHTS ARE FULL. THERE
ARE NO RENTAL CARS REMAINING IN KEY WEST. GREYHOUND HAS SEATS
AVAILABLE ON A BUS SCHEDULED TO LEAVE KEY WEST MONDAY MORNING AT 855
AM. TOLLS ON CARD SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN SUSPENDED. HIGH-PROFILE
VEHICLES...SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...SHOULD BE OUT
OF THE FLORIDA KEYS PRIOR TO MIDDAY MONDAY. THE SNAKE CREEK
DRAWBRIDGE...IN ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN TO MARINE VESSELS...UPON
THE ARRIVAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. THE PORT OF KEY WEST IS
NOW CLOSED. ALL MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. WASTE MANAGEMENT IS PLANNING REGULAR TRASH PICKUP IN KEY
WEST ON MONDAY MORNING...BUT SERVICE WILL BE SUSPENDED WHEN SUSTAINED
WINDS REACH 35 MPH. RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO SECURE TRASH BINS AS
QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE AFTER THE MONDAY MORNING PICKUP. THE MONROE
COUNTY EMERGENCY INFORMATION PHONE LINE IS OPERATIONAL AT
800-955-5504...AND THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER RUMOR
CONTROL HOTLINE IS ALSO OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY FROM MONDAY
EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...THE STORM
SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...
AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM MONDAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY
IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM MONDAY...10:53 PM MONDAY...11:05 AM TUESDAY
IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM MONDAY...10:57 PM MONDAY...11:21 AM TUESDAY
NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM MONDAY...11:03 PM MONDAY...11:27 AM TUESDAY
...WINDS...
EAST WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH LOCALLY
STRONGER AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN RAIN BANDS.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO IMPACT THE LOWER
KEYS BEGINNING MONDAY AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS MAY SPREAD INTO THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS MONDAY EVENING. AT THIS TIME... THE STRONGEST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...TO THE WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 75 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 62 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 46 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 3 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.
...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP
TO 10 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE
PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD PONDING
OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. THE
HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND MONDAY NIGHT...CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.
...MARINE IMPACTS...
WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FORECAST TO IMPACT THE KEYS COASTAL
WATERS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...MARINERS SHOULD
FINISH PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES TO PROTECT THEMSELVES AND THEIR
VESSELS. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA
STRAITS OVERNIGHT...LIKELY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OF 20
TO 25 KNOTS LATE. IN ADDITION...LINES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 300 AM MONDAY
MORNING...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
$$
FLZ077-078-180700-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
1155 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE UPPER KEYS.
STORM INFORMATION UPDATED FOR THE 11 PM ADVISORY.
RAINFALL INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCREASE MAXIMUM EXPECTED AMOUNTS.
WIND INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCORPORATE THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK.
MARINE IMPACTS UPDATED TO INCORPORATE THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK.
STORM SURGE INFORMATION UPDATED TO INCORPORATE THE LATEST FORECAST
TRACK.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE UPPER
KEYS...AND IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS. A HURRICANE
WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY...EXCEPT
ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON MONDAY. THE FOLLOWING KEYS
SHELTERS ARE NOW OPEN...KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL AT 2100 FLAGLER
AVENUE...SUGARLOAF ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 19...STANLEY
SWITLIK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT 3400 OVERSEAS HIGHWAY IN MARATHON...
AND CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 89 ON PLANTATION KEY.
MOBILE HOME RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-
ABOARDS SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT PLANS TO CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
HOWEVER ALMOST ALL SEATS ON MONDAY MORNING FLIGHTS ARE FULL. THERE
ARE NO RENTAL CARS REMAINING IN KEY WEST. GREYHOUND HAS SEATS
AVAILABLE ON A BUS SCHEDULED TO LEAVE KEY WEST MONDAY MORNING AT 855
AM. TOLLS ON CARD SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN SUSPENDED. HIGH-PROFILE
VEHICLES...SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...SHOULD BE OUT
OF THE FLORIDA KEYS PRIOR TO MIDDAY MONDAY. THE SNAKE CREEK
DRAWBRIDGE...IN ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN TO MARINE VESSELS...UPON
THE ARRIVAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. THE PORT OF KEY WEST IS
NOW CLOSED. ALL MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. WASTE MANAGEMENT IS PLANNING REGULAR TRASH PICKUP IN KEY
WEST ON MONDAY MORNING...BUT SERVICE WILL BE SUSPENDED WHEN SUSTAINED
WINDS REACH 35 MPH. RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO SECURE TRASH BINS AS
QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE AFTER THE MONDAY MORNING PICKUP. THE MONROE
COUNTY EMERGENCY INFORMATION PHONE LINE IS OPERATIONAL AT
800-955-5504...AND THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER RUMOR
CONTROL HOTLINE IS ALSO OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY FROM MONDAY
EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...THE STORM
SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...
AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM MONDAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY
IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM MONDAY...10:53 PM MONDAY...11:05 AM TUESDAY
IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM MONDAY...10:57 PM MONDAY...11:21 AM TUESDAY
NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM MONDAY...11:03 PM MONDAY...11:27 AM TUESDAY
...WINDS...
EAST WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH LOCALLY
STRONGER AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN RAIN BANDS.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO IMPACT THE LOWER
KEYS BEGINNING MONDAY AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS MAY SPREAD INTO THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS MONDAY EVENING. AT THIS TIME... THE STRONGEST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...TO THE WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 75 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 62 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 46 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 3 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.
...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP
TO 10 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE
PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD PONDING
OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. THE
HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND MONDAY NIGHT...CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.
...MARINE IMPACTS...
WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FORECAST TO IMPACT THE KEYS COASTAL
WATERS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...MARINERS SHOULD
FINISH PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES TO PROTECT THEMSELVES AND THEIR
VESSELS. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA
STRAITS OVERNIGHT...LIKELY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OF 20
TO 25 KNOTS LATE. IN ADDITION...LINES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 300 AM MONDAY
MORNING...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
$$
JACOBSON
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