[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 17 19:37:58 CDT 2008
WTUS82 KMFL 180037
HLSMFL
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
837 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR
SOUTH FLORIDA....
.AT 8 PM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 80.3 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 330
MILES SOUTH OF MIAMI OR 360 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES.
FAY HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY AND SOMEWHAT ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED MONDAY OR
MONDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY IS EXPECTED CROSS
WESTERN CUBA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING...AND MOVE NEAR
THE FLORIDA KEYS MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS, AND FAY IS
EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO.
FLZ069-075-174-180600-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL COLLIER-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-
837 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL COLLIER, FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE,
MAINLAND MONROE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA: HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO GO OVER THEIR PREPAREDNESS PLANS AND
RESTOCK ON PROVISIONS SUCH AS
BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS
DRINKING WATER, RECOMMENDED ONE GALLON PER PERSON PER DAY
CANNED OR DRIED FOOD, REMEMBER THE CAN OPENER
FIRST AID SUPPLIES
PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE
CASH BECAUSE CREDIT CARDS AND ATM MAY NOT WORK IF POWER IS OUT
FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES, GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS.
PATIO FURNITURE SHOULD BE BROUGHT INDOORS AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
CAN TURN THEM INTO PROJECTILES.
A VOLUNTARY PRECAUTIONARY EVACUATION STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED BY
COLLIER COUNTY FOR COASTAL RESIDENTS INCLUDING RESIDENTS AROUND
CHOCOLOSKEE, HENDERSON CREEK AREA, EVERGLADES CITY, GOODLAND,
MARCO ISLAND, LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS, AND GORDON RIVER AREAS. THE
STATEMENT ALSO APPLIES TO RESIDENTS OF MANUFACTURED HOME
COMMUNITIES. BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE VISITOR CENTER IS
CLOSED UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. POLITICAL CANDIDATES ARE ASKED TO
REMOVE ELECTION SIGNS TO PREVENT THEM FROM FLYING AROUND.
IF OR WHEN TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE ISSUED,
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT THIS TIME IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE DETAILED INFORMATION ON
WHAT THE SURGE IMPACT COULD SPECIFICALLY BE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA COAST AS IT IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK SIZE
AND INTENSITY OF FAY. HOWEVER, A SIGNIFICANT STORM TIDE IS
POSSIBLE WITH FAY, PARTICULARLY IF THE STORM ENDS UP BEING
STRONGER AND TRACKS EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK WITH THE EFFECT
BEING GREATEST AT THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY.
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF FAY WOULD PASS
ABOUT 60 TO 90 MILES OFFSHORE THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST AS
A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. GIVEN THE FORECAST WIND CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AS THE STORM PASSES, A STORM TIDE OF 2 TO
4 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE CAPE SABLE AND FLAMINGO AREAS OF
EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK PARTICULARLY AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE AROUND 3 TO 4 AM AND AGAIN AROUND 3 TO 4 PM TUESDAY. HIGHER
STORM TIDE VALUES OF 4 TO 7 FEET ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTH
ALONG THE MAINLAND MONROE AND COLLIER COUNTY COASTLINES,
PARTICULARLY AT THE SECOND HIGH TIDE AROUND 2 TO 3 PM TUESDAY.
FLOODING OF COASTAL ROADS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IS POSSIBLE
PARTICULARLY AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
RESIDENTS OF COASTAL COMMUNITIES ALONG THE COLLIER COUNTY COAST
ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST INFORMATION AND BE READY TO
EVACUATE IF ORDERED TO DO BY COLLIER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
...WINDS...
WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHWEST GULF
COAST WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE MONDAY AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE IN SQUALLS ARE
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY FOR THE METRO COLLIER COASTLINE INCLUDING
NAPLES AND MARCO ISLAND, FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MID AFTERNOON TUESDAY, PEAKING DURING THE DAYLIGHT
MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY. HOWEVER A TRACK CLOSER OR OVER THE
COLLIER OR MAINLAND MONROE COASTLINE COULD RESULT IN AT LEAST
CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH.
THEREFORE A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT.
ALL RESIDENTS OF COLLIER COASTAL COMMUNITIES INCLUDING METRO
NAPLES AND MARCO ISLAND SHOULD BE READY TO TAKE QUICK PROTECTIVE
ACTIONS SHOULD THE AREA BE PLACED UNDER A TROPICAL STORM OR
HURRICANE WARNING.
FOR PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE ADJACENT TO FLORIDA BAY ONLY
MARGINAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLY AT THIS TIME
PARTICULARLY LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS NOW A 60 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
GULF COAST EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS, WINDS OF 39 TO 73
MPH, WITH FAY. THERE IS ABOUT A 5 TO 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF THE
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST EXPERIENCING HURRICANE CONDITIONS, OR
WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER.
...INLAND FLOODING...
ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO
3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS EVENT, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR MAINLAND SOUTH
FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY DEPENDING ON THE EVOLUTION OF
THE EVENT.
...TORNADOES...
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF FAY
FOR MOST OF THE DAY MONDAY AND THE MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY. THIS
QUADRANT IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR SMALL QUICK STRIKING
TORNADOES, ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL BANDS OF SQUALLS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT.
$$
GMZ656-657-676-180600-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
837 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT THIS TIME.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL WATERS FROM
BONITA BEACH TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 60 NM. COASTAL WATERS FROM
EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA: HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD BE TAKING ACTION NOW TO PROTECT MARINE CRAFT
ALLOWING PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF A STORM TIDE
AND HIGH WINDS. SECURING MARINE CRAFT IN MARINAS OR ALONGSIDE
DOCKS SHOULD ALLOW EXTRA LINE FOR THE RISE AND FALL OF THE STORM
TIDE.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS BETTER THAN 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF
COASTAL WATERS EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS, WINDS OF 39
TO 73 MPH, WITH FAY. THERE IS ABOUT A 10 TO 15 PERCENT CHANCE OF THE
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS EXPERIENCING HURRICANE
CONDITIONS, OR WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER.
...TORNADOES...
SOUTH FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WILL BE IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT
OF FAY FOR MOST OF THE DAY MONDAY AND THE MORNING HOURS TUESDAY.
THIS QUADRANT IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR SMALL QUICK STRIKING
TORNADOES OR WATERSPOUTS, ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL BANDS OF
SQUALLS.
...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
GUSTING NEAR HURRICANE FORCE ARE LIKELY LATE MONDAY EVENING,
WITH CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS LIKELY AROUND MIDNIGHT AND
CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL LIKELY BUILD IN
EXCESS OF 10 FEET OFFSHORE AND FROM 5 TO 10 FEET NEARSHORE. SURF
ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY ROUGH
AND DANGEROUS BEGINNING LATE MONDAY, AND ESPECIALLY ON
TUESDAY... AS WINDS INCREASE. MARINERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE PORT AND
STAY THERE THROUGH TUESDAY. BEACH EROSION IS LIKELY AS FAY PASSES
BY THE AREA AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO BE LIKELY. THERE IS
STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE EXACT PATH AND
INTENSITY OF FAY. IT IS IMPORTANT TO BEGIN TAKING PRECAUTIONS AS
SOON AS POSSIBLE TO PROTECT MARINE CRAFT AND SHORELINE PROPERTY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT.
$$
FLZ168-172-173-180600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
837 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL BROWARD, COASTAL
MIAMI DADE, COASTAL PALM BEACH.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA: TROPICAL STORM WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO GO OVER THEIR PREPAREDNESS PLANS AND
RESTOCK ON PROVISIONS SUCH AS...
BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS
DRINKING WATER, RECOMMENDED ONE GALLON PER PERSON PER DAY
CANNED OR DRIED FOOD, REMEMBER THE CAN OPENER
FIRST AID SUPPLIES
PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE
CASH BECAUSE CREDIT CARDS AND ATM MAY NOT WORK IF POWER IS OUT
FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES, GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS.
PATIO FURNITURE SHOULD BE BROUGHT INDOORS AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS CAN TURN THEM INTO PROJECTILES. ELECTION SIGNS SHOULD ALSO BE
TAKEN DOWN TO PREVENT THEM FROM FLYING AROUND. IF OR WHEN TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS ARE ISSUED, PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
DESPITE THE WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE FORECAST TRACK, THE
POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL RATHER HIGH.
ALL PERSONS ARE URGED TO REMAIN ALERT AND COMPLETE PREPAREDNESS
ACTIONS IF THE TRACK CHANGES BACK TO THE EAST TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
BROWARD AND MIAMI DADE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LITTLE IMPACT FROM STORM TIDE IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST AT THIS TIME.
...WINDS...
GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, WINDS WILL BE INCREASING
ACROSS COASTAL MIAMI-DADE, BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES LATE
MONDAY, WITH WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY MORNING AND GUSTING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ACROSS MIAMI-
DADE, BROWARD, AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY
IN THE FORECAST THIS COULD CHANGE ONE WAY OR THE OTHER AND
THEREFORE THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 40 TO 45 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IN
THE METRO MIAMI, FORT LAUDERDALE, AND WEST PALM BEACH AREAS. THERE
IS A LESS THAN 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS IN ALL
THREE LOCATIONS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 3
TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
EVENT. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA
LATER TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY.
...TORNADOES...
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF FAY
ALL DAY MONDAY AND THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY. THIS
QUADRANT IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR SMALL QUICK STRIKING TORNADOES
OR WATERSPOUTS, ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL BANDS OF SQUALLS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT.
$$
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-180600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
837 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW INFORMATION AT THIS TIME.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: BISCAYNE BAY, COASTAL WATERS
FROM OCEAN REEF TO JUPITER INLET OUT 60 NM, AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA: TROPICAL STORM WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD BE MAKING PLANS NOW TO PROTECT MARINE CRAFT...
ALLOWING PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE, ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST AND A LAKE
LEVEL NEAR 11.3 FEET, NO SIGNIFICANT STORM TIDE IMPACT IS EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME, ALTHOUGH LARGE FLUCTUATIONS IN LAKE LEVEL ARE
POSSIBLE AS THE WINDS SHIFT IN DIRECTION AND SPEED WITH THE
PASSING STORM.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS ABOUT A 30 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS IN THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. THERE
IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS IN THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.
...TORNADOES...
THE SOUTH FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WILL BE IN THE RIGHT FRONT
QUADRANT OF FAY ALL DAY MONDAY AND THE MORNING HOURS TUESDAY. THIS
QUADRANT IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR SMALL QUICK STRIKING TORNADOES
OR WATERSPOUTS, ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL BANDS OF SQUALLS.
...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 33
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING
MONDAY EVENING AND SPREADING NORTH OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND
LAKE OKEECHOBEE THROUGHOUT MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO MUCH OF TUESDAY
BEFORE BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
SEAS WILL BE BUILDING TO AS HIGH AS 7 TO 9 FEET DURING LATE MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL ALL RESULT IN VERY ROUGH SURF AND
POSSIBLY MINOR BEACH EROSION. THE RISK OF STRONG DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS WILL BE HIGH ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST PARTICULAR
LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT.
$$
FLZ063-066>068-070>074-180600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0000Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND BROWARD-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-METRO PALM BEACH-
837 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...
...NEW INFORMATION...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: GLADES, HENDRY, INLAND
BROWARD, INLAND COLLIER, INLAND MIAMI DADE, INLAND PALM
BEACH, METRO BROWARD, METRO MIAMI DADE, METRO PALM BEACH.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA: TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO GO OVER THEIR PREPAREDNESS PLANS AND
RESTOCK ON PROVISIONS SUCH AS...
BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS
DRINKING WATER, RECOMMENDED ONE GALLON PER PERSON PER DAY
CANNED OR DRIED FOOD, REMEMBER THE CAN OPENER
FIRST AID SUPPLIES
PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE
CASH BECAUSE CREDIT CARDS AND ATM MAY NOT WORK IF POWER IS OUT
FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES, GENERATORS, AND CHAIN SAWS.
PATIO FURNITURE SHOULD BE BROUGHT INDOORS AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS CAN TURN THEM INTO PROJECTILES. SHOULD A TROPICAL STORM OR
HURRICANE WIND WARNING BE ISSUED, PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
DESPITE THE WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE FORECAST TRACK, THE POSSIBILITY
OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS STILL RATHER HIGH. ALL PERSONS
ARE URGED TO REMAIN ALERT AND COMPLETE PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS IF THE
TRACK CHANGES BACK TO THE EAST TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
ALSO, BROWARD AND MIAMI DADE SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY.
IN COLLIER COUNTY, A VOLUNTARY PRECAUTIONARY EVACUATION STATEMENT
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR COASTAL RESIDENTS INCLUDING RESIDENTS AROUND
CHOCOLOSKEE, HENDERSON CREEK AREA, EVERGLADES CITY, GOODLAND,
MARCO ISLAND, LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS, AND GORDON RIVER AREAS. THE
STATEMENT ALSO APPLIES TO RESIDENTS OF MANUFACTURED HOME
COMMUNITIES. BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE VISITOR CENTER IS
CLOSED UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. POLITICAL CANDIDATES ARE ASKED TO
REMOVE ELECTION SIGNS TO PREVENT THEM FROM FLYING AROUND.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LITTLE IMPACT FROM STORM TIDE IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST AT THIS TIME.
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE, ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST AND A LAKE
LEVEL NEAR 11.3 FEET, NO SIGNIFICANT STORM TIDE IMPACT IS EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME, ALTHOUGH LARGE FLUCTUATIONS IN LAKE LEVEL ARE
POSSIBLE AS THE WINDS SHIFT IN DIRECTION AND SPEED WITH THE
PASSING STORM.
...WINDS...
FOR INLAND AND METRO SECTIONS OF PALM BEACH, BROWARD, AND MIAMI
DADE COUNTIES, WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
ACROSS INLAND COLLIER, GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES, WINDS OF 35 TO
45 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH IN RAIN BANDS ARE POSSIBLE
FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS
WOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE DURING TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 40 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IN
METRO AND INLAND MIAMI DADE, BROWARD, AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES; AND
50 TO 60 PERCENT FOR INLAND COLLIER, HENDRY, AND GLADES COUNTIES.
THERE IS A LESS THAN 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS IN ALL
INLAND LOCATIONS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 3
TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS EVENT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA
LATER TODAY OR ON MONDAY.
...TORNADOES...
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF FAY
FOR MOST OF THE DAY MONDAY AND THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS TUESDAY.
THIS QUADRANT IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR SMALL QUICK STRIKING
TORNADOES OR WATERSPOUTS, ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL BANDS OF
SQUALLS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT.
$$
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