[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 17 19:20:20 CDT 2008


WTUS82 KKEY 180020
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
820 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS...

AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.3 WEST OR ABOUT 265 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH
EXPECTED MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY IS
EXPECTED CROSS WESTERN CUBA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING...
AND MOVE NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND FAY
COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES WESTERN CUBA
TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY AND WHEN IT APPROACHES THE FLORIDA KEYS LATE
MONDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

GMZ053-054-073>075-180400-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
820 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION IS UPDATED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS UPDATED WITH THE LATEST
INFORMATION FROM MONROE COUNTY REGARDING TRAVEL...STORM SHELTERS IN
THE KEYS...AND MONDAY TRASH PICKUP IN KEY WEST.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
KEYS...AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY...EXCEPT
ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON MONDAY. THE FOLLOWING KEYS
SHELTERS ARE NOW OPEN...KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL AT 2100 FLAGLER
AVENUE...SUGARLOAF ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 19...STANLEY
SWITLIK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT 3400 OVERSEAS HIGHWAY IN MARATHON...AND
CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 89 ON PLANTATION KEY. MOBILE
HOME RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS
SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
PLANS TO CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...HOWEVER ALMOST
ALL SEATS ON MONDAY MORNING FLIGHTS ARE FULL. THERE ARE NO RENTAL
CARS REMAINING IN KEY WEST. GREYHOUND HAS SEATS AVAILABLE ON A BUS
SCHEDULED TO LEAVE KEY WEST MONDAY MORNING AT 855 AM. THE PORT OF KEY
WEST WILL CLOSE THIS EVENING. TOLLS ON CARD SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN
SUSPENDED. THE SNAKE CREEK DRAWBRIDGE...IN ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN
TO MARINE VESSELS...UPON THE ARRIVAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.
HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES...SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...
SHOULD BE OUT OF THE FLORIDA KEYS PRIOR TO MIDDAY MONDAY. ALL MONROE
COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY AND TUESDAY. WASTE MANAGEMENT IS
PLANNING REGULAR TRASH PICKUP IN KEY WEST ON MONDAY MORNING...BUT
SERVICE WILL BE SUSPENDED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS REACH 35 MPH.
RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO SECURE TRASH BINS AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE AFTER
THE MONDAY MORNING PICKUP. THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER
RUMOR CONTROL HOTLINE IS OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO POSSIBLY 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY
FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...THE
STORM SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM MONDAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM MONDAY...10:53 PM MONDAY...11:05 AM TUESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM MONDAY...10:57 PM MONDAY...11:21 AM TUESDAY

NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM MONDAY...11:03 PM MONDAY...11:27 AM TUESDAY

...WINDS...

EAST WINDS NEAR 15 MPH THIS EVENING...WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE
OVERNIGHT. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAY IMPACT THE
LOWER KEYS AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM WINDS MAY
REMAIN WEST OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 74 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH
OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 44 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR
GREATER. THERE IS A 2 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS DURING THE PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE
WIDESPREAD PONDING OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS. THE HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IMPACTING KEYS WATERS
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...MARINERS SHOULD FINISH PRECAUTIONARY
MEASURES TO PROTECT THEMSELVES AND THEIR VESSELS.
OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS
TONIGHT...POSSIBLY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OF 20 TO 25
KNOTS LATE. IN ADDITION...SQUALLS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY
REDEVELOP AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS LATE TONIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AROUND MIDNIGHT...
OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

FLZ077-078-180400-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
820 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION IS UPDATED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS UPDATED WITH THE LATEST
INFORMATION FROM MONROE COUNTY REGARDING TRAVEL...STORM SHELTERS IN
THE KEYS...AND MONDAY TRASH PICKUP IN KEY WEST.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
KEYS...AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY...EXCEPT
ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON MONDAY. THE FOLLOWING KEYS
SHELTERS ARE NOW OPEN...KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL AT 2100 FLAGLER
AVENUE...SUGARLOAF ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 19...STANLEY
SWITLIK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT 3400 OVERSEAS HIGHWAY IN MARATHON...AND
CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 89 ON PLANTATION KEY. MOBILE
HOME RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS
SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
PLANS TO CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...HOWEVER ALMOST
ALL SEATS ON MONDAY MORNING FLIGHTS ARE FULL. THERE ARE NO RENTAL
CARS REMAINING IN KEY WEST. GREYHOUND HAS SEATS AVAILABLE ON A BUS
SCHEDULED TO LEAVE KEY WEST MONDAY MORNING AT 855 AM. THE PORT OF KEY
WEST WILL CLOSE THIS EVENING. TOLLS ON CARD SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN
SUSPENDED. THE SNAKE CREEK DRAWBRIDGE...IN ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN
TO MARINE VESSELS...UPON THE ARRIVAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.
HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES...SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...
SHOULD BE OUT OF THE FLORIDA KEYS PRIOR TO MIDDAY MONDAY. ALL MONROE
COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY AND TUESDAY. WASTE MANAGEMENT IS
PLANNING REGULAR TRASH PICKUP IN KEY WEST ON MONDAY MORNING...BUT
SERVICE WILL BE SUSPENDED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS REACH 35 MPH.
RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO SECURE TRASH BINS AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE AFTER
THE MONDAY MORNING PICKUP. THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER
RUMOR CONTROL HOTLINE IS OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO POSSIBLY 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY
FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...THE
STORM SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM MONDAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM MONDAY...10:53 PM MONDAY...11:05 AM TUESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM MONDAY...10:57 PM MONDAY...11:21 AM TUESDAY

NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM MONDAY...11:03 PM MONDAY...11:27 AM TUESDAY

...WINDS...

EAST WINDS NEAR 15 MPH THIS EVENING...WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE
OVERNIGHT. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAY IMPACT THE
LOWER KEYS AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM WINDS MAY
REMAIN WEST OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 74 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH
OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 44 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR
GREATER. THERE IS A 2 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS DURING THE PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE
WIDESPREAD PONDING OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS. THE HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IMPACTING KEYS WATERS
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...MARINERS SHOULD FINISH PRECAUTIONARY
MEASURES TO PROTECT THEMSELVES AND THEIR VESSELS.
OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS
TONIGHT...POSSIBLY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OF 20 TO 25
KNOTS LATE. IN ADDITION...SQUALLS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY
REDEVELOP AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS LATE TONIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AROUND MIDNIGHT...
OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

GMZ031>033-052-072-180400-
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
820 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION IS UPDATED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS UPDATED WITH THE LATEST
INFORMATION FROM MONROE COUNTY REGARDING TRAVEL...STORM SHELTERS IN
THE KEYS...AND MONDAY TRASH PICKUP IN KEY WEST.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
KEYS...AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY...EXCEPT
ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON MONDAY. THE FOLLOWING KEYS
SHELTERS ARE NOW OPEN...KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL AT 2100 FLAGLER
AVENUE...SUGARLOAF ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 19...STANLEY
SWITLIK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT 3400 OVERSEAS HIGHWAY IN MARATHON...AND
CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 89 ON PLANTATION KEY. MOBILE
HOME RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS
SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
PLANS TO CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...HOWEVER ALMOST
ALL SEATS ON MONDAY MORNING FLIGHTS ARE FULL. THERE ARE NO RENTAL
CARS REMAINING IN KEY WEST. GREYHOUND HAS SEATS AVAILABLE ON A BUS
SCHEDULED TO LEAVE KEY WEST MONDAY MORNING AT 855 AM. THE PORT OF KEY
WEST WILL CLOSE THIS EVENING. TOLLS ON CARD SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN
SUSPENDED. THE SNAKE CREEK DRAWBRIDGE...IN ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN
TO MARINE VESSELS...UPON THE ARRIVAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.
HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES...SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...
SHOULD BE OUT OF THE FLORIDA KEYS PRIOR TO MIDDAY MONDAY. ALL MONROE
COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY AND TUESDAY. WASTE MANAGEMENT IS
PLANNING REGULAR TRASH PICKUP IN KEY WEST ON MONDAY MORNING...BUT
SERVICE WILL BE SUSPENDED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS REACH 35 MPH.
RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO SECURE TRASH BINS AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE AFTER
THE MONDAY MORNING PICKUP. THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER
RUMOR CONTROL HOTLINE IS OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO POSSIBLY 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY
FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...THE
STORM SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM MONDAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM MONDAY...10:53 PM MONDAY...11:05 AM TUESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM MONDAY...10:57 PM MONDAY...11:21 AM TUESDAY

NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM MONDAY...11:03 PM MONDAY...11:27 AM TUESDAY

...WINDS...

EAST WINDS NEAR 15 MPH THIS EVENING...WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE
OVERNIGHT. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAY IMPACT THE
LOWER KEYS AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM WINDS MAY
REMAIN WEST OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 74 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH
OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 44 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR
GREATER. THERE IS A 2 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS DURING THE PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE
WIDESPREAD PONDING OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS. THE HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IMPACTING KEYS WATERS
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...MARINERS SHOULD FINISH PRECAUTIONARY
MEASURES TO PROTECT THEMSELVES AND THEIR VESSELS.
OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS
TONIGHT...POSSIBLY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OF 20 TO 25
KNOTS LATE. IN ADDITION...SQUALLS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY
REDEVELOP AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS LATE TONIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AROUND MIDNIGHT...
OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

FLZ076-180400-
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-
820 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION IS UPDATED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS UPDATED WITH THE LATEST
INFORMATION FROM MONROE COUNTY REGARDING TRAVEL...STORM SHELTERS IN
THE KEYS...AND MONDAY TRASH PICKUP IN KEY WEST.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
KEYS...AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY...EXCEPT
ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON MONDAY. THE FOLLOWING KEYS
SHELTERS ARE NOW OPEN...KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL AT 2100 FLAGLER
AVENUE...SUGARLOAF ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 19...STANLEY
SWITLIK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT 3400 OVERSEAS HIGHWAY IN MARATHON...AND
CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 89 ON PLANTATION KEY. MOBILE
HOME RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS
SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
PLANS TO CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...HOWEVER ALMOST
ALL SEATS ON MONDAY MORNING FLIGHTS ARE FULL. THERE ARE NO RENTAL
CARS REMAINING IN KEY WEST. GREYHOUND HAS SEATS AVAILABLE ON A BUS
SCHEDULED TO LEAVE KEY WEST MONDAY MORNING AT 855 AM. THE PORT OF KEY
WEST WILL CLOSE THIS EVENING. TOLLS ON CARD SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN
SUSPENDED. THE SNAKE CREEK DRAWBRIDGE...IN ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN
TO MARINE VESSELS...UPON THE ARRIVAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.
HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES...SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...
SHOULD BE OUT OF THE FLORIDA KEYS PRIOR TO MIDDAY MONDAY. ALL MONROE
COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY AND TUESDAY. WASTE MANAGEMENT IS
PLANNING REGULAR TRASH PICKUP IN KEY WEST ON MONDAY MORNING...BUT
SERVICE WILL BE SUSPENDED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS REACH 35 MPH.
RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO SECURE TRASH BINS AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE AFTER
THE MONDAY MORNING PICKUP. THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER
RUMOR CONTROL HOTLINE IS OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO POSSIBLY 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY
FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...THE
STORM SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM MONDAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM MONDAY...10:53 PM MONDAY...11:05 AM TUESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM MONDAY...10:57 PM MONDAY...11:21 AM TUESDAY

NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM MONDAY...11:03 PM MONDAY...11:27 AM TUESDAY

...WINDS...

EAST WINDS NEAR 15 MPH THIS EVENING...WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE
OVERNIGHT. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAY IMPACT THE
LOWER KEYS AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM WINDS MAY
REMAIN WEST OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 74 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH
OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 44 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR
GREATER. THERE IS A 2 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS DURING THE PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE
WIDESPREAD PONDING OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS. THE HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IMPACTING KEYS WATERS
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...MARINERS SHOULD FINISH PRECAUTIONARY
MEASURES TO PROTECT THEMSELVES AND THEIR VESSELS.
OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS
TONIGHT...POSSIBLY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OF 20 TO 25
KNOTS LATE. IN ADDITION...SQUALLS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY
REDEVELOP AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS LATE TONIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AROUND MIDNIGHT...
OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

JACOBSON










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