[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTBW 172146
HLSTBW

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
546 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE
COUNTY TO TARPON SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY...
...HURRICANE WIND WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR POLK...HARDEE AND
HIGHLANDS COUNTIES...

.AT 5 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0
DEGREES NORTH...80.2 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF FORT MYERS...ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
TAMPA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT...AND THEN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY
OR MONDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1003 MB...OR 29.62
INCHES. FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL
FLORIDA TUESDAY AND COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL.

FLZ050-051-GMZ830-180115-
/O.EXA.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON...
TAMPA
546 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE
COUNTY TO TARPON SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS
3 TO 5 FEET ALONG PINELLAS COUNTY AND WITHIN TAMPA BAY.

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 60 TO 80 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT
THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 25 TO 40 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING LATE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 3 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL
AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY
NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TONIGHT
OR ON MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO
THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 830 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ052-180115-
/O.EXA.KTBW.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0000Z/
POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN
546 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR POLK COUNTY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT THE
WATCH AREA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BASED ON THE LATEST
FORECAST TRACK IT IS MORE LIKELY THAT WINDS WILL BE MAINLY BETWEEN
30 AND 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 25 TO 40 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING LATE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 3 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL
AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY
NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TONIGHT
OR ON MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO
THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 830 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ055-060>062-065-GMZ853-856-873-876-180115-
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE...
ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
546 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
BASED ON THE LATEST STORM TRACK FORECAST THE STORM SURGE FOR LEE
AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES HAS BEEN LOWERED.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY TO
ANNA MARIA IN MANATEE COUNTY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS
3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COASTS...AND 2
TO 4 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS INCLUDING THE
UPPER PORTIONS OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR.

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 60 TO 80 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT
THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 25 TO 40 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING LATE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 3 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL
AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK... A FLOOD WATCH MAY
NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TONIGHT
OR ON MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO
THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 830 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ056-057-180115-
/O.CON.KTBW.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0000Z/
HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK
546 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

...NEW INFORMATION...

BASED ON THE CURRENT STORM FORECAST TRACK THE THREAT OF HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS HAS BEEN LOWERED...BUT THIS COULD QUICKLY CHANGE IF
THE FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED BACK TO THE EAST DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HARDEE AND HIGHLANDS
COUNTIES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT THE
WATCH AREA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BASED ON THE LATEST
FORECAST TRACK IT IS MORE LIKELY THAT WINDS WILL BE MAINLY BETWEEN
30 AND 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 30 TO 40 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING LATE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 2 TO 6 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL
AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY
NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TONIGHT
OR ON MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO
THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 830 PM EDT.

$$

PRC

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