[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 17 09:03:02 CDT 2008
WTUS82 KMFL 171402 AAA
HLSMFL
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1002 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS...
.AT 8 AM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT
490 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES OR 430 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI.
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. A TURN TO
THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST EXPECTED BY
LATE MONDAY. FAY IS EXPECTED TO CROSS CENTRAL CUBA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT AND EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO OR THE
FLORIDA STRAITS ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND FAY COULD
BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES CENTRAL CUBA.
ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS FAY CROSSES CUBA FAY IS
EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE
FLORIDA KEYS.
FLZ069-075-174-171815-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL COLLIER-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-
1002 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM TIDE EFFECTS HAVE BEEN UPDATED. TIMING HAS BEEN UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL COLLIER...FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE...MAINLAND MONROE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS IS A GOOD TIME FOR RESIDENTS TO GO OVER THEIR PREPAREDNESS
PLANS AND RESTOCK ON PROVISIONS SUCH AS
BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS
DRINKING WATER
CANNED OR DRIED FOOD
FIRST AID SUPPLIES
PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE
CASH BECAUSE CREDIT CARDS AND ATM MAY NOT WORK WITHOUT POWER
FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES, GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS.
IF OR WHEN HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE ISSUED PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT THIS TIME IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE DETAILED INFORMATION ON
WHAT THE SURGE IMPACT COULD SPECIFICALLY BE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA COAST AS IT IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK SIZE
AND INTENSITY OF FAY.
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, FAY WOULD MOVE NORTH ALONG THE
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST AS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM WITH THE
CENTER REMAINING OFFSHORE. GIVEN THE FORECAST WIND CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AS THE STORM PASSES, STORM TIDE OF 3 TO 6
FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE CAPE SABLE AND FLAMINGO AREAS OF
EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK PARTICULARLY AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE
AROUND 4 AM AND AGAIN AT 4 PM TUESDAY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTH ALONG THE MAINLAND MONROE AND COLLIER
COUNTY COASTLINE NEAR CHOKOLOSKEE AND EVERGLADES CITY PARTICULARLY
AT THE SECOND HIGH TIDE AROUND 5 PM TUESDAY. MINOR FLOODING OF
COASTAL ROADS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST CAN BE EXPECTED AT THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
HOWEVER...SHOULD THE STORM BE STRONGER OR MOVE TO THE RIGHT OF
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE, A STORM
TIDE OF 6 TO 10 FEET AT ANY GIVEN COASTAL LOCATION IS POSSIBLE
NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE STORM ENDS UP MAKING LANDFALL.
A STORM TIDE OF 10 FEET WOULD MEAN THAT MANY ROADWAYS COULD GO
UNDERWATER INCLUDING PARTS OF THE TAMIAMI TRAIL U.S. HIGHWAY
41 STATE ROADS 951 AND 92 WHICH LINK MARCO ISLAND TO THE
MAINLAND AND STATE ROAD 29 WHICH LINKS CHOKOLOSKEE AND EVERGLADES
CITY TO THE TAMIAMI TRAIL. COLLIER SEMINOLE STATE PARK WOULD ALSO
HAVE SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING.
RESIDENTS OF COASTAL COMMUNITIES ESPECIALLY MARCO ISLAND, GOODLAND,
CHOKOLOSKEE AND EVERGLADES CITY ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF ORDERED TO DO BY COLLIER
COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
...WINDS...
WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, WINDS ALONG COASTAL COLLIER
COUNTY WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE MONDAY EVENING AND REACH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE, GUSTING FROM 50 TO 70 MPH, PARTICULARLY DURING THE
MORNING HOURS TUESDAY THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDING LATE TUESDAY. FOR
MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE WINDS WILL BE INCREASING
LATE MONDAY NIGHT, REACHING 34 TO 50 MPH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
WITH CONDITIONS BEGINNING TO IMPROVE AROUND NOON TUESDAY. HOWEVER
A TRACK CLOSER TO THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COASTLINE COULD RESULT IN
AT LEAST CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH.
THEREFORE A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 45 TO 55 PERCENT CHANCE OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF
COAST EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS, WINDS OF 39 TO 73
MPH, WITH FAY. THERE IS A 5 TO 6 PERCENT CHANCE OF THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COAST EXPERIENCING HURRICANE CONDITIONS, OR WINDS OF
74 MPH OR GREATER.
...INLAND FLOODING...
UNDER THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 TO 8
ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS EVENT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
DEPENDING ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE STORM TRACK, A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY
BE ISSUED FOR MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA LATER TODAY OR ON MONDAY.
...TORNADOES...
LAND FALLING TROPICAL CYCLONES IMPACTING THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
COAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE PROLIFIC
TORNADO PRODUCERS UNDER CERTAIN CONDITIONS. AT THIS EARLY STAGE, THERE
WILL BE AT LEAST A SLIGHT RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ACCOMPANYING
THE SPIRAL BANDS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND NOON EDT.
$$
GMZ656-657-676-171815-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
1002 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TIMING UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20
NM...GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING
FROM 20 TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD START TAKING ACTION NOW TO PROTECT MARINE CRAFT
ALLOWING PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF A STORM TIDE
OR HIGH WINDS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT THIS TIME IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE DETAILED INFORMATION ON
WHAT THE SURGE IMPACT COULD SPECIFICALLY BE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA COAST AS IT IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK SIZE
AND INTENSITY OF FAY.
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, FAY WOULD MOVE NORTH ALONG THE
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST AS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM WITH THE
CENTER REMAINING OFFSHORE. GIVEN THE FORECAST WIND CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AS THE STORM PASSES, STORM TIDE OF 3 TO 6
FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE CAPE SABLE AND FLAMINGO AREAS OF
EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK PARTICULARLY AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE
AROUND 4 AM AND AGAIN AT 4 PM TUESDAY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTH ALONG THE MAINLAND MONROE AND COLLIER
COUNTY COASTLINE NEAR CHOKOLOSKEE AND EVERGLADES CITY PARTICULARLY
AT THE SECOND HIGH TIDE AROUND 5 PM TUESDAY. MINOR FLOODING OF
COASTAL ROADS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST CAN BE EXPECTED AT THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
HOWEVER...SHOULD THE STORM BE STRONGER OR MOVE TO THE RIGHT OF
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE, A STORM
TIDE OF 6 TO 10 FEET AT ANY GIVEN COASTAL LOCATION IS POSSIBLE
NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE STORM ENDS UP MAKING LANDFALL.
A STORM TIDE OF 10 FEET WOULD MEAN THAT MANY ROADWAYS COULD GO
UNDERWATER INCLUDING PARTS OF THE TAMIAMI TRAIL U.S. HIGHWAY
41 STATE ROADS 951 AND 92 WHICH LINK MARCO ISLAND TO THE
MAINLAND AND STATE ROAD 29 WHICH LINKS CHOKOLOSKEE AND EVERGLADES
CITY TO THE TAMIAMI TRAIL. COLLIER SEMINOLE STATE PARK WOULD ALSO
HAVE SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING.
RESIDENTS OF COASTAL COMMUNITIES ESPECIALLY MARCO ISLAND, GOODLAND,
CHOKOLOSKEE AND EVERGLADES CITY ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF ORDERED TO DO BY COLLIER
COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
...WINDS...
WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, WINDS IN THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
GULF COASTAL WATERS WILL BE INCREASING STEADILY AND REACHING
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY MID AFTERNOON MONDAY. FREQUENT
GUSTS AS HIGH AS HURRICANE FORCE OR 74 MPH WILL BE LIKELY FROM
MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NOON THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDING LATE
TUESDAY. HOWEVER, A TRACK CLOSER TO THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
COASTLINE COULD RESULT IN AT LEAST CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH. THEREFORE A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN
EFFECT.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 55 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF
COASTAL WATERS EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS, WINDS OF 39
TO 73 MPH, WITH FAY. THERE IS A 5 TO 6 PERCENT CHANCE OF THE
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST EXPERIENCING HURRICANE CONDITIONS, OR
WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER.
...TORNADOES...
LAND FALLING TROPICAL CYCLONES IMPACTING THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
COAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE PROLIFIC
TORNADO PRODUCERS UNDER CERTAIN CONDITIONS. AT THIS EARLY STAGE, THERE
WILL BE AT LEAST A SLIGHT RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ACCOMPANYING
THE SPIRAL BANDS ACROSS THE SOUTH FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WITH THE
BEST POTENTIAL MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
UNDER THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS GUSTING NEAR HURRICANE FORCE ARE LIKELY. SEAS WILL LIKELY
BUILD IN EXCESS OF 10 FEET OFFSHORE AND FROM 5 TO 10 FEET
NEARSHORE. SURF ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY ROUGH AND DANGEROUS BEGINNING TUESDAY MORNING AS THE
STORM MOVE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND THE FLOW GRADUALLY
BECOMES ONSHORE DURING THE DAY. BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE AS THE
HURRICANE PASSES BY THE AREA AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO BE
LIKELY. THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE
EXACT PATH AND INTENSITY OF FAY. IT IS IMPORTANT TO BEGIN TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS
AS SOON AS POSSIBLE TO PROTECT MARINE CRAFT AND SHORELINE PROPERTY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND NOON EDT.
$$
FLZ168-172-173-171815-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
1002 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TIMING UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL BROWARD...COASTAL MIAMI DADE...COASTAL PALM BEACH.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS IS A GOOD TIME FOR RESIDENTS TO GO OVER THEIR PREPAREDNESS
PLANS AND RESTOCK ON PROVISIONS SUCH AS...
BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS
DRINKING WATER
CANNED OR DRIED FOOD
FIRST AID SUPPLIES
PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE
CASH BECAUSE CREDIT CARDS AND ATM MAY NOT WORK WITHOUT POWER
FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES, GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS.
SHOULD TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WARNINGS BE ISSUED, PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LITTLE IMPACT FROM STORM TIDE IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER, GIVEN THE CURRENT
FORECAST TRACK UNCERTAINTY A STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST AT THE TIMES
OF HIGH TIDE.
...WINDS...
GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS
COASTAL MIAMI-DADE MONDAY EVENING WITH PEAK TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND
DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON TUESDAY WITH CONDITIONS BEGINNING TO
IMPROVE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE ACROSS COASTAL BROWARD AND
PALM BEACH COUNTIES IT WILL BE WINDY MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY BUT
SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN SQUALLS.
GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST THIS COULD CHANGE ONE WAY OR
THE OTHER AND THEREFORE THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 40 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IN
THE MIAMI AREA, WITH A 30 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS IN THE FORT LAUDERDALE AND WEST PALM BEACH AREAS. THERE
IS A 3 PERCENT OR LESS CHANCE OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS IN ALL THREE LOCATIONS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
UNDER THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 TO 8
ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS EVENT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
DEPENDING ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE STORM TRACK, A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY
BE ISSUED FOR MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA LATER TODAY OR ON MONDAY.
...TORNADOES...
LAND FALLING TROPICAL CYCLONES IMPACTING THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
COAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE PROLIFIC
TORNADO PRODUCERS UNDER CERTAIN CONDITIONS. AT THIS EARLY STAGE, THERE
WILL BE AT LEAST A SLIGHT RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ACCOMPANYING
THE SPIRAL BANDS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND NOON EDT.
$$
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-171815-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
1002 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TIMING UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS
LAKE OKEECHOBEE
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD START MAKING PLANS NOW TO PROTECT MARINE CRAFT
ALLOWING PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE, WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST NO SIGNIFICANT
STORM TIDE IMPACT IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME ALTHOUGH LARGE
FLUCTUATIONS IN LAKE LEVEL ARE EXPECTED AS THE WINDS SHIFT IN
DIRECTION AND SPEED WITH THE PASSING STORM.
...WINDS...
WINDS WILL BE STEADILY INCREASING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT BUT ON
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK FOR FAY, SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. FREQUENT GUSTS IN EXCESS OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE ARE STILL POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
DESPITE CURRENT FORECAST, THERE IS STILL A 30 TO 40 PERCENT
PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING BISCAYNE BAY AND 40 TO 50 PERCENT
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
...TORNADOES...
LAND FALLING TROPICAL CYCLONES IMPACTING THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
COAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE PROLIFIC
TORNADO PRODUCERS UNDER CERTAIN CONDITIONS. AT THIS EARLY STAGE, THERE
WILL BE AT LEAST A SLIGHT RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ACCOMPANYING
THE SPIRAL BANDS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
UNDER THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WINDS OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
THIS WILL ALL RESULT IN VERY ROUGH SURF AND POSSIBLY MINOR BEACH
EROSION. THE RISK OF STRONG DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL BE HIGH
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST PARTICULAR LATE MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY.
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE WINDS WILL BE STEADILY INCREASING MONDAY
NIGHT AND SHOULD REACH 40 TO 50 MPH, TROPICAL STORM FORCE, BY TUESDAY
MORNING BEFORE BEGINNING TO IMPROVE TUESDAY EVENING. A TRACK
CLOSER TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE OR A STRONG INTENSITY STORM WOULD RESULT
IN HIGHER WINDS AND MUCH WORSE MARINE IMPACT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND NOON EDT.
$$
FLZ063-066>068-070>074-171815-
/O.CON.KMFL.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0000Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND BROWARD-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-METRO PALM BEACH-
1002 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TIMING UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
GLADES
HENDRY
INLAND BROWARD AND METRO BROWARD
INLAND COLLIER
INLAND AND METRO MIAMI-DADE
INLAND AND METRO PALM BEACH
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS IS A GOOD TIME FOR RESIDENTS TO GO OVER THEIR PREPAREDNESS
PLANS AND RESTOCK ON PROVISIONS SUCH AS...
BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS
DRINKING WATER
CANNED OR DRIED FOOD
FIRST AID SUPPLIES
PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE
CASH BECAUSE CREDIT CARDS AND ATM MAY NOT WORK WITHOUT POWER
FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES, GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS.
SHOULD A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WARNING BE ISSUED PREPARATION
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LITTLE IMPACT FROM STORM TIDE IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER, GIVEN THE CURRENT
FORECAST TRACK UNCERTAINTY A STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST AT THE TIMES
OF HIGH TIDE.
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE, WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST NO SIGNIFICANT
STORM TIDE IMPACT IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME ALTHOUGH LARGE
FLUCTUATIONS IN LAKE LEVEL ARE EXPECTED AS THE WINDS SHIFT IN
DIRECTION AND SPEED WITH THE PASSING STORM.
...WINDS...
GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS
INLAND AND METRO MIAMI-DADE MONDAY EVENING WITH PEAK TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING AND DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON TUESDAY WITH CONDITIONS
BEGINNING TO IMPROVE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE ACROSS BROWARD
AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES IT WILL BE WINDY MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY BUT SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 45 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS IN SQUALLS. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST THIS COULD
CHANGE ONE WAY OR THE OTHER AND THEREFORE THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 40 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IN
THE MIAMI AREA, WITH A 30 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS IN THE FORT LAUDERDALE AND WEST PALM BEACH AREAS. THERE
IS A 3 PERCENT OR LESS CHANCE OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS IN ALL THREE LOCATIONS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
UNDER THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 TO 8
ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS EVENT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
DEPENDING ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE STORM TRACK, A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY
BE ISSUED FOR MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA LATER TODAY OR ON MONDAY.
...TORNADOES...
LAND FALLING TROPICAL CYCLONES IMPACTING THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
COAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE PROLIFIC
TORNADO PRODUCERS UNDER CERTAIN CONDITIONS. AT THIS EARLY STAGE, THERE
WILL BE AT LEAST A SLIGHT RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ACCOMPANYING
THE SPIRAL BANDS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND NOON EDT.
$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net
More information about the Tropical
mailing list