[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT34 KNHC 020857
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092006
500 AM AST MON OCT 02 2006

...HURRICANE ISAAC RACING TOWARD NEWFOUNDLAND...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND...

AT 500AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CANADIAN METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA IN
SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND...WHICH INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ST. JOHNS
AND CAPE RACE.

AT 500AM AST...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE BURIN
PENINSULA AND BONAVISTA PENINSULA IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 40.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.2 WEST OR ABOUT 500 MILES...
800 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ISAAC IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  ONLY SLIGHT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED BEFORE ISAAC PASSES OVER
OR NEAR SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290
MILES...465 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2-3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN
NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY.

REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...40.5 N...58.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART
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