[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 180842
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM WILMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

16.6N  81.4W      45  X  X  X 45   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  4  7  2 13
17.3N  82.4W      28  3  X  X 31   MNPC 141N 834W     3  2  2  1  8
18.6N  84.0W       1 18  8  1 28   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  1  8  9
MKJS 185N 779W     1  1  1  2  5   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  5  5
MWCG 193N 814W     8 11  3  1 23   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  2  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  3  3   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  7  7
MUCF 221N 805W     X  1  3  6 10   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  3  3
MUSN 216N 826W     X  2 11  6 19   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  3  3
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  4  9 13   VENICE FL          X  X  X  2  2
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X 12  8 20   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  2  2
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X 11  7 18   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  3  3
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  2  5  7   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  2  2
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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