[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 010226
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE...ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
AREA...IS MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
ARE STILL SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM
TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY.

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES FROM
NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND EXTENDING EASTWARD OVER THE
ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA...BUT MAY
BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

A LARGE NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC ABOUT 1150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.  SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE CONTINUED TO INCREASE...AND THIS SYSTEM COULD
DEVELOP INTO A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS
IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

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