[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Jul 29 15:26:48 CDT 2005
WTNT71 KNHC 292026
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI JUL 29 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 42.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST MON AUG 1 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
47.0N 49.0W 28 X X X 28 ILE ST PIERRE 12 X X X 12
SABLE ISLAND NS 8 X X X 8 CAPE RACE NFLD 31 X X X 31
BURGEO NFLD 2 X X X 2 HIBERNIA OILFLD 25 X X X 25
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
C FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
D FROM 2PM SUN TO 2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
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