[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 291514
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM FRANKLIN... LOCATED ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HALIFAX
NOVA SCOTIA.

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE HAS DEVELOPED IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM LATER TODAY OR
SATURDAY...AS THE  SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST
AT 15 MPH. AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE
SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON. SQUALLY WEATHER WILL LIKELY OCCUR OVER THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS... THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... PUERTO RICO...AND
HISPANIOLA TODAY AND SATURDAY. THIS AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS HAVE INCREASED
IN CENTRAL BAHAMAS. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD
MOVING TROPICAL WAVE AND AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. SURFACE PRESSURES ARE
HIGH AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF SURFACE CIRCULATION. FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT... IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS DIMINISHED.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA

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