[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 280842
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU JUL 28 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SUN JUL 31 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

38.0N  66.2W      25  2  X  X 27   HALIFAX NS         X  3  8  1 12
40.1N  63.2W       1 16  4  X 21   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  1 11  3 15
42.4N  59.3W       X  1 12  3 16   SYDNEY NS          X  X  6  6 12
BERMUDA            X  1  1  X  2   EDDY POINT NS      X  1  8  3 12
NANTUCKET MA       X  2  X  X  2   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  3  7 10
BAR HARBOR ME      X  1  1  X  2   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  2  8 10
EASTPORT ME        X  1  2  1  4   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  2  9 11
ST JOHN NB         X  1  4  1  6   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X 10 10
MONCTON NB         X  1  3  2  6   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  7  7
YARMOUTH NS        X  4  5  X  9

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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