[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jul 27 21:32:12 CDT 2005


WTNT71 KNHC 280231
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED JUL 27 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SAT JUL 30 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

37.3N  67.1W      30  4  X  X 34   HALIFAX NS         X  X  7  4 11
39.3N  64.4W       X 18  6  X 24   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  7  7 14
41.8N  60.3W       X  X 12  4 16   SYDNEY NS          X  X  2  9 11
NANTUCKET MA       X  3  1  X  4   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  4  7 11
HYANNIS MA         X  2  1  X  3   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  9  9
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  2  X  2   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  9  9
EASTPORT ME        X  X  3  1  4   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X 10 10
ST JOHN NB         X  X  3  3  6   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  9  9
MONCTON NB         X  X  3  3  6   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  5  5
YARMOUTH NS        X  1  6  2  9

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
C FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
D FROM  8PM FRI TO  8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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