[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 272038
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED JUL 27 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SAT JUL 30 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

37.0N  67.1W      26  4  X  X 30   ST JOHN NB         X  X  3  3  6
38.8N  64.8W       X 16  4  X 20   MONCTON NB         X  X  2  4  6
40.9N  61.5W       X  1 11  3 15   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  6  3  9
BERMUDA            X  2  1  1  4   HALIFAX NS         X  X  5  5 10
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  1  X  1  2   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  3  9 12
PROVIDENCE RI      X  1  1  X  2   SYDNEY NS          X  X  1  8  9
NANTUCKET MA       X  3  3  X  6   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  2  8 10
HYANNIS MA         X  2  2  1  5   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  7  7
BOSTON MA          X  1  1  X  2   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  8  8
PORTLAND ME        X  X  1  1  2   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  8  8
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  3  1  4   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  7  7
EASTPORT ME        X  X  3  2  5   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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