[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jul 26 21:32:09 CDT 2005
WTNT71 KNHC 270231
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE JUL 26 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST FRI JUL 29 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
34.4N 68.4W 34 1 X X 35 PORTLAND ME X X X 6 6
36.0N 67.8W 6 12 2 X 20 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 7 7
38.0N 66.5W X 3 10 3 16 EASTPORT ME X X X 7 7
BERMUDA 3 5 2 1 11 ST JOHN NB X X X 6 6
OCEAN CITY MD X X 2 1 3 MONCTON NB X X X 5 5
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 2 2 4 YARMOUTH NS X X X 8 8
NEW YORK CITY NY X X 2 3 5 HALIFAX NS X X X 7 7
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 3 4 7 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 5 5
PROVIDENCE RI X X 2 5 7 SYDNEY NS X X X 3 3
NANTUCKET MA X X 4 6 10 EDDY POINT NS X X X 5 5
HYANNIS MA X X 3 6 9 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 2 2
BOSTON MA X X 2 5 7
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU
C FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
D FROM 8PM THU TO 8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
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