[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 262031
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE JUL 26 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST FRI JUL 29 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

34.6N  67.5W      33  1  X  X 34   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  1  5  6
36.2N  67.1W       9 10  2  1 22   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  6  6
37.9N  66.2W       X  7  7  3 17   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  6  6
BERMUDA            6  3  2  2 13   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  5  5
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  1  2   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  1  7  8
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  1  1  2   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  7  7
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  3  3  6   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  6  6
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  3  3  6   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  4  4
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  5  4  9   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  5  5
HYANNIS MA         X  X  4  4  8   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  2  2
BOSTON MA          X  X  2  4  6   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  2  2
PORTLAND ME        X  X  1  4  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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