[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 250838
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT THU JUL 28 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.2N  69.0W      37  X  X  1 38   BERMUDA            X  2  5  6 13
31.6N  68.5W      22  2  1  1 26   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2
32.2N  68.0W      13  4  2  2 21   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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