[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Jul 24 21:32:29 CDT 2005


WTNT71 KNHC 250232
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT WED JUL 27 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.0N  70.3W      99  X  X  X 99   BERMUDA            X  1  6  6 13
31.7N  68.5W      13 14  X  1 28   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
32.5N  67.2W       X 12  5  3 20   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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