[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT32 KNHC 232343
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...EXPECTED TO BRING
HEAVY RAINS TO EASTERN MEXICO...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM PALMA SOLA NORTHWARD TO CABO ROJO...AND A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF CABO
ROJO NORTHWARD TO LA CRUZ.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF CIRCULATION OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES...350 KM...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH
...15 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS MAINLY IN SQUALLS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE
DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP
TO 8 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN
MEXICO.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS PREVIOUSLY AFFECTED BY HURRICANE
EMILY.

REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...19.5 N... 93.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

$$


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