[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 232025
SPFAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT TUE JUL 26 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

20.4N  96.0W      47  X  X  X 47   MMFR 185N 926W    99  X  X  X 99
21.1N  97.3W      20  7  1  X 28   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  3  3
21.9N  98.8W       1 18  3  2 24   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  5  5
MMSO 238N 982W     X  6  9  3 18   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  3  7 10
MMTM 222N 979W     2 18  3  1 24   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  2  2
MMTX 210N 974W    20  7  1  X 28   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  4  4
MMVR 192N 961W    35  X  X  X 35   GULF 25N 96W       X  1  4  5 10

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM SUN TO  1AM MON
C FROM  1AM MON TO  1PM MON
D FROM  1PM MON TO  1PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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