[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 222029
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT MON JUL 25 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

30.0N  75.4W      32  1  X  X 33   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  3  5  3 11
30.9N  73.8W      11 11  1  1 24   NORFOLK VA         X  X  3  3  6
31.5N  72.0W       1 10  5  2 18   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1  4  5
MYGF 266N 787W     7  1  X  X  8   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4
BERMUDA            X  X  X  5  5   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  3  3
CHARLESTON SC      X  2  X  1  3   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  3  1  1  5   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  3  3  1  7   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  4  4  2 10   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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