[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 221438
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI JUL 22 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT MON JUL 25 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

29.0N  77.5W      51  X  X  X 51   JACKSONVILLE FL    1  3  1  X  5
29.9N  76.0W      23  4  X  1 28   SAVANNAH GA        X  2  2  2  6
30.4N  74.4W       4 14  2  2 22   CHARLESTON SC      X  2  3  3  8
MYGF 266N 787W    38  X  X  X 38   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  1  4  4  9
BERMUDA            X  X  X  2  2   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  3  6  9
W PALM BEACH FL    5  1  X  X  6   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  3  6  9
FT PIERCE FL       8  1  X  1 10   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1  8  9
COCOA BEACH FL     7  2  X  X  9   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  4  4
DAYTONA BEACH FL   3  4  X  1  8   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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