[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

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WTNT41 KNHC 220005
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT THU JUL 21 2005

THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED TO UPDATE THE INITIAL AND
FORECAST INTENSITY OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN.  DATA FROM AN AIR
FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE INITIAL INTENSITY
IS AT LEAST 40 KT.  THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS INCREASED DURING THE
FIRST 48 HOURS BUT REMAINS 60 KT AT DAYS THREE THROUGH FIVE.
INITIAL MOTION IS 310/12... AND THE TRACK FORECAST REMAINS THE SAME
AS THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.

FORECASTER KNABB


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      22/0000Z 25.8N  76.0W    40 KT
 12HR VT     22/0600Z 26.3N  76.8W    45 KT
 24HR VT     22/1800Z 27.5N  77.5W    50 KT
 36HR VT     23/0600Z 28.5N  77.6W    55 KT
 48HR VT     23/1800Z 29.0N  77.0W    55 KT
 72HR VT     24/1800Z 29.0N  76.5W    60 KT
 96HR VT     25/1800Z 28.5N  76.0W    60 KT
120HR VT     26/1800Z 28.0N  76.5W    60 KT


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