[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Jul 21 09:32:04 CDT 2005


WTNT35 KNHC 211431
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU JUL 21 2005

...EMILY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN INLAND OVER NORTHERN MEXICO...
...THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING STILL EXISTS...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION EMILY WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 101.2 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF SALTILLO MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR  2 MPH
... 4 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  30 MPH... 45 KM/HR. CONTINUED
WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND EMILY SHOULD GRADUALLY DISSIPATE LATER
TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

ALTHOUGH EMILY IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...THE
REMNANT CIRCULATION WILL STILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ADDITIONAL
RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER NORTHERN MEXICO...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS.  THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...25.0 N...101.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR  2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

FORECASTER STEWART

$$
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