[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT35 KNHC 201057
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE EMILY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  39A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
6 AM CDT WED JUL 20 2005

...EMILY MAKING LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AS A CATEGORY THREE
HURRICANE...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER TEXAS COAST FROM PORT
MANSFIELD SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM
SOUTH OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD
TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 6 AM CDT...1100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  97.6 WEST.  THIS POSITION IS ON THE
NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO ABOUT  35 MILES... 55 KM...EAST OF SAN
FERNANDO MEXICO.  THIS IS ALSO ABOUT  75 MILES... 120 KM... SOUTH
OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  10 MPH...16 KM/HR.
A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED TODAY.  THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING
THE CENTER OF EMILY FARTHER INLAND ACROSS NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THIS MAKES EMILY A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  EMILY WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS THE CENTER
MOVES INLAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.  SAN FERNANDO RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST
OF 53 MPH...WHILE BROWNSVILLE RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 49
MPH.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  944 MB...27.88 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...WITH HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH
OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS LIKELY OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO WHERE 5 TO
10 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS AND
THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER FAR SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT...AND
OVER SOUTHERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY.

REPEATING THE 6 AM CDT POSITION...24.8 N... 97.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 944 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN


$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net