[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 190256
HLSBRO
TXZ248>257-190600-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1000 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005

...HURRICANE EMILY STRENGTHENS AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF
OF MEXICO...
...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS GULF COAST FROM
BAFFIN BAY TO BROWNSVILLE...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS GULF
COAST FROM BAFFIN BAY TO BROWNSVILLE...
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ZAPATA...
BROOKS...JIM HOGG...HIDALGO AND STARR COUNTIES IN DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS ACROSS
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE LOWER TEXAS COASTLINE WHICH INCLUDES THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES: ZAPATA...STARR...JIM HOGG...BROOKS...HIDALGO...
CAMERON...WILLACY AND KENEDY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT 10 PM CDT...EMERGENCY OFFICIALS HAVE DETERMINED RECREATIONAL
VEHICLES ARE TO LEAVE CAMERON COUNTY BEACH AREAS BY MIDNIGHT. NO
OTHER EVACUATION RECOMMENDATIONS HAVE BEEN MADE FOR CAMERON...
WILLACY...AND KENEDY COUNTIES. THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SOUTH PADRE
ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...AND PORT MANSFIELD. COUNTY AND CITY OFFICIALS
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EMILY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.1 WEST OR ABOUT 365 MILES...
EAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO AND ABOUT 400 MILES...EAST SOUTHEAST OF
BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

EMILY IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. GIVEN THIS TRACK...EMILY IS
EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT APPROXIMATELY
95 MILES SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE...OR ABOUT 45 MILES NORTH OF LA PESCA
MEXICO.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS SHOULD FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND
OTHER GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO RUN 1.5 TO 2 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER
AROUND 6 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING. GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK OF
EMILY...STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 6 FEET ALONG THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST. THE COMBINATION OF HIGH TIDE...STORM SURGE...AND VERY
ROUGH SURF ON WEDNESDAY MORNING COULD PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING ALONG
SOUTH AND EAST FACING SHORES OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND.

...WIND IMPACTS...
AT 10 PM CDT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WITH HURRICANE EMILY ARE NEAR
95 MPH. EMILY IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN MORE AS IT MOVES WEST
NORTHWEST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT. THE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS ON TUESDAY
AND TUESDAY NIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL AREAS WITH WIND GUSTS TO NEAR
HURRICANE FORCE TUESDAY EVENING AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...OTHER IMPACTS...
THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL BE HIGH ON TUESDAY AS EMILY APPROACHES.
WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 14 FEET OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY WITH WAVES
UP TO 18 FEET POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT. WAVES WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON
WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE EMILY. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE DANGER
POSED BY FLOODING RAINS. NEVER DRIVE INTO WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH.
REMEMBER...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 100 AM CDT.

$$

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