[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 190234
SPFAT5
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  92.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT THU JUL 21 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

24.2N  96.2W      44  X  X  X 44   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  1  1  X  2
24.5N  98.5W      11 19  X  X 30   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  3  4  X  7
24.5N 101.0W       X 17  6  X 23   BROWNSVILLE TX     5 17  1  X 23
MMSO 238N 982W    21  8  1  X 30   GULF 27N 96W       1  7  1  X  9
MMTM 222N 979W     7  5  2  X 14   GULF 25N 96W      37  X  X  X 37
MMTX 210N 974W     X  1  2  X  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM TUE TO  7AM WED
C FROM  7AM WED TO  7PM WED
D FROM  7PM WED TO  7PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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