[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT35 KNHC 190000
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE EMILY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  32A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005

...EMILY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM SOUTH
OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
IS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO.  A HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM
BAFFIN BAY TEXAS SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER.  A HURRICANE
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  91.5 WEST OR ABOUT  410 MILES...
660 KM...EAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO AND ABOUT  440 MILES...710 KM...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF EMILY WILL BE NEARING THE
COAST OF NORTHEAST MEXICO LATE TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  EMILY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME RE-STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 9 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 2 INCHES OR LESS
ACROSS YUCATAN. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF SOUTH TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...22.6 N... 91.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

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