[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 182042
SPFAT5
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  91.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT THU JUL 21 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

24.0N  95.5W      44  X  X  X 44   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  1  2  X  3
24.5N  98.0W       6 24  X  X 30   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  3  5  X  8
24.5N 100.5W       X 17  6  X 23   BROWNSVILLE TX     1 21  1  X 23
MMSO 238N 982W     8 19  1  X 28   GULF 28N 95W       X  1  1  X  2
MMTM 222N 979W     6  7  2  X 15   GULF 27N 96W       X  8  3  X 11
MMTX 210N 974W     1  X  2  X  3   GULF 25N 96W      25  7  X  X 32
MMMD 210N 897W     5  X  X  X  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM TUE TO  1AM WED
C FROM  1AM WED TO  1PM WED
D FROM  1PM WED TO  1PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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