[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Jul 18 05:50:40 CDT 2005


WTUS84 KBRO 181049
HLSBRO
TXZ251-254>257-181400-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
545 AM CDT MON JUL 18 2005

...HURRICANE EMILY MOVING THROUGH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...

...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS GULF COAST FROM
BAFFIN BAY TO BROWNSVILLE...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS ACROSS THE
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE LOWER TEXAS COASTLINE WHICH INCLUDES THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES: CAMERON...WILLACY AND KENEDY.

...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION...
AS OF 500 AM CDT...EMERGENCY OFFICIALS HAVE MADE NO EVACUATION
RECOMMENDATION FOR CAMERON...WILLACY...AND KENEDY COUNTIES.  THIS
INCLUDES THE CITY OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...AND PORT
MANSFIELD.  COUNTY AND CITY OFFICIALS WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF EMILY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 400 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.0 WEST APPROXIMATELY 70 MILES
WEST OF COZUMEL.

...MOVEMENT...
EMILY IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.  GIVEN THIS TRACK...EMILY IS EXPECTED TO
MAKE LANDFALL AROUND MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT APPROXIMATELY 100 MILES
SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE...OR 50 MILES NORTH OF LA PESCA.

...WINDS...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WITH HURRICANE EMILY WERE NEAR 110 MPH.
ADDITIONAL WEAKENING OF THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED AS EMILY MOVES
THROUGH THROUGH THE YUCATAN THIS MORNING.  EMILY IS THEN FORECASTED
TO STRENGTHEN SHORTLY AFTER IT MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO
TONIGHT.

...STORM SURGE AND TIDES...
TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO RUN 1 FOOT ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.  GIVEN
THE CURRENT TRACK OF EMILY...STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE 2 TO 4
FEET.

...WINDS IMPACTS...
WINDS ARE EXPECTED INCREASE ALONG THE COAST AND OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS ON TUESDAY.  WINDS GUSTS TO NEAR 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED OVER
COASTAL SECTIONS TUESDAY EVENING.

...RIP CURRENTS AND MARINE CONDITIONS...
THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL BE HIGH ON TUESDAY AS EMILY
APPROACHES. WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 14 FEET OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY
WITH WAVES UP TO 18 FEET POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT.  WAVES WILL BEGIN
TO SUBSIDE ON WEDNESDAY.

...RAINFALL...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS WITH HURRICANE EMILY.  ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE DANGER POSED BY
FLOODING RAINS. NEVER DRIVE INTO WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH.  REMEMBER...
TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 800 AM.

$$

AP

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