[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 171431
SPFAT5
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN JUL 17 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT WED JUL 20 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

20.9N  88.9W      45  1  X  X 46   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  2  2
22.2N  91.6W       1 29  1  X 31   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  3  3
23.1N  94.2W       X 13 10  1 24   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  5  5
MWCG 193N 814W     6  X  X  X  6   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  7  7
MUAN 219N 850W     5  X  X  X  5   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  1  8  9
MMCZ 205N 869W    62  X  X  X 62   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  1 10 11
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  9  8 17   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  7  9 16
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  9  6 15   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  2  3
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  6  7 13   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  1  5  6
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  2  5  7   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  2  7  9
MMFR 185N 926W     1  1  1  1  4   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  4  9 13
MMMD 210N 897W    36  4  X  X 40   GULF 25N 96W       X  1 13  5 19

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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