[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 161431
SPFAT5
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT TUE JUL 19 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

18.5N  83.0W      49  1  X  X 50   MMMD 210N 897W     X  3 23  1 27
19.9N  86.2W       1 35  1  X 37   BURAS LA           X  X  X  2  2
21.3N  89.4W       X  4 24  1 29   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2
MKJP 179N 768W    16  X  X  X 16   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  3  3
MKJS 185N 779W    19  X  X  X 19   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  5  5
MWCG 193N 814W    47  X  X  X 47   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  7  7
MUSN 216N 826W     4 13  X  X 17   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  8  8
MUHA 230N 824W     X  3  X  X  3   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  8  8
MUAN 219N 850W     X 26  1  1 28   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  8  8
MMCZ 205N 869W     X 31  4  X 35   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X 11 11
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  5  7  X 12   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  1  4  5
MHNJ 165N 859W     2  5  X  1  8   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  9  9
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  9  9   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X 11 11
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  X  7  7   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X 11 11
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  X  6  6   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X 12 12
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  X  5  5   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X 15 15
MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  2  7  9

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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