[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 150841
SPFAT5
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI JUL 15 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST MON JUL 18 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

15.8N  75.3W      48  1  X  X 49   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  5  8 13
17.2N  78.7W       X 36  1  X 37   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  5 17 22
18.5N  82.2W       X  3 26  X 29   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  2 20 22
MDCB 176N 714W     5  X  X  X  5   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X 10 10
MTPP 186N 724W     2  X  X  X  2   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  3  3
MTCA 183N 738W    10  4  X  X 14   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  2  9 11
MKJP 179N 768W     5 31  X  X 36   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  1  2  3
MKJS 185N 779W     X 32  1  X 33   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  2  2
MWCG 193N 814W     X  4 26  X 30   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X 16 16
MUGM 200N 751W     X  4  1  X  5   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  2  5  1  8   KEY WEST FL        X  X  1  4  5
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X 10  3 13   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  3  3
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X 15  6 21   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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