[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 140258
SPFAT5
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED JUL 13 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SAT JUL 16 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

13.4N  66.7W      49  1  X  X 50   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X 15  3 18
14.5N  70.0W       X 34  1  X 35   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X 14  7 21
15.5N  73.2W       X  3 23  1 27   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  3 19 22
SKPG 125N 717W     X  9  6  X 15   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  1 20 21
TNCC 122N 690W     5 17  X  X 22   MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X 15 15
SVMG 110N 640W    14  X  X  X 14   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  2 13 15
TTPP 106N 614W    14  X  X  X 14   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X 11 11
TTPT 112N 608W    99  X  X  X 99   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  8  8
TGPY 120N 618W    99  X  X  X 99   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  6  6
TBPB 131N 595W    48  X  X  X 48   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  3  3
TVSV 131N 612W    91  X  X  X 91   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  2  2
TLPL 138N 610W    41  X  X  X 41   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  5  3  8
TFFF 146N 610W     3  X  X  X  3   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  1  1  2
80400 157N 636W    8  X  X  X  8   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  2  2
TJPS 180N 666W     X  4  X  X  4   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2
MDSD 185N 697W     X  4  9  X 13   PONCE PR           X  4  X  X  4
MDCB 176N 714W     X  5 17  1 23

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
C FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
D FROM  8PM FRI TO  8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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