[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT35 KNHC 132357
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EMILY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM AST WED JUL 13 2005

...EMILY ARRIVES IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...CENTER PASSING JUST NORTH
OF TOBAGO...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...
TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...GRENADA...THE GRENADINES...ST. VINCENT...ST.
LUCIA...AND THE NORTHERN COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM PEDERNALES
WESTWARD TO CUMANA...INCLUDING ISLA MARGARITA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BONAIRE...CURACAO...AND
ARUBA...AND FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM CUMANA WESTWARD
TO CARACAS...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS NORTH OF THE COASTAL
WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF EMILY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 60.6 WEST OR ABOUT 90
MILES... 145 KM... NORTH-NORTHEAST OF TRINIDAD AND ABOUT 85 MILES...
135 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRENADA.

EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH ...30 KM/HR. A TURN TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF EMILY WILL PASS THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
TONIGHT AND EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA EARLY
THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...AND SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  EMILY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE CLEARING
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...HOWEVER...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE
OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A UNITED STATES AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

EMILY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
VENEZUELA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE PATH OF THE
CENTER.

REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...11.5 N... 60.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER KNABB


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