[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 131437
SPFAT5
TROPICAL STORM EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED JUL 13 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  58.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SAT JUL 16 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

12.4N  64.0W      48  1  X  X 49   TJPS 180N 666W     X  2  5  2  9
13.3N  67.0W       1 32  1  X 34   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  6  7 13
14.2N  70.0W       X  4 22  1 27   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  8 12 20
SKPG 125N 717W     X  X 11  5 16   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  2 14 16
TNCC 122N 690W     X 11 10  X 21   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  1 18 19
SVMG 110N 640W    29  2  X  X 31   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X 19 19
TTPP 106N 614W    39  X  X  X 39   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X 16 16
TTPT 112N 608W    70  X  X  X 70   MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  5  5
TGPY 120N 618W    69  X  X  X 69   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X 11 11
TBPB 131N 595W    57  X  X  X 57   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  4  4
TVSV 131N 612W    62  X  X  X 62   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  1  3  1  5
TLPL 138N 610W    36  X  X  X 36   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  1  7  8
TFFF 146N 610W     9  X  X  X  9   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  2  2
TDPR 153N 614W     4  X  X  X  4   ST CROIX VI        X  2  2  X  4
80400 157N 636W    6  9  X  X 15   ST THOMAS VI       X  1  1  X  2
TISX 177N 648W     X  2  2  X  4   SAN JUAN PR        X  1  3  1  5
TIST 183N 650W     X  1  1  X  2   PONCE PR           X  2  5  2  9

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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